What will be the Producer Price Index change in the USA for October, 2009?

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Background:

Background: The Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported that the Producer Price Index for Finished Goods fell 0.6 % in September, after rising 1.7% in August, seasonally adjusted.
In 2008, the Producer Price Index ranged from + 1.5 in May to -2.7 in November. Much of this movement is, of course, tied to the economy as a whole and to the price of oil, since energy costs affect producer costs. So far this year, the numbers were as follows:
Jan: +0.8
Feb: +0.1
March: -1.2
April: + 0.3
May: + 0.2
June: + 1.8
July: -0.9
Aug: +1.7
Sept -0.6
How will the index change in October, 2009 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (seasonally adjusted)?
Is deflation ahead? Results are reported in the middle of Nov.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. The official primary source is the Bureau of Labor Statistics @ http://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.toc.htm

Forecast history %

-2.0 or below

-1.99 to -1.50

-1.49 to -1.00

-0.99 to -0.50

-0.49 to unchanged

11%

+0.01 to + 0.5

22%

+0.51 to +1.0

25%

+1.01 to +1.5

+1.51 to + 2.0

+ 2.01 or above

Predictions on this question are temporarily suspended

Activity: H$1,970
Predictions: 7
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Thu 12th Nov 7:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: -2.0 or below: 5%, -1.99 to -1.50: 8%, -1.49 to -1.00: 10%, -0.99 to -0.50: 12%, -0.49 to unchanged: 15%, +0.01 to + 0.5: 15%, +0.51 to +1.0: 12%, +1.01 to +1.5: 10%, +1.51 to + 2.0: 8%, + 2.01 or above: 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 20th Oct 9:21am PST by

tuff_sledding [Power User]

Suspended Thu 12th Nov 7:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

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