What will President Obama's approval rating be on Thursday November 5th, 2009?
Background: "What will President Obama's approval rating be after it is updated 1pm (Eastern) Thursday November 5, 2009?"
Settlement details:As reported by Gallup at http://www.gallup.com Thursday after 1:00 pm EST
What will President Obama's approval rating be on Thursday November 5th, 2009?
45% or below
46-47%
48-49%
50-51%
52-53%
54-55%
56-57%
58-59%
60-61%
62% or above
Forecast history %
|
| 45% or below | |
|
| 46-47% | |
|
| 48-49% | |
|
| 50-51% | |
|
| 52-53% | |
|
| 54-55% | |
|
| 56-57% | |
|
| 58-59% | |
|
| 60-61% | |
|
| 62% or above | |
Settled as 52-53% on Thu 5th Nov 7:40pm PST
Suspend date: Thu 5th Nov 4:59am PST
Settlement date: Thu 5th Nov 7:40pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 5th Nov 4:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
45% or below: 1%, 46-47%: 8%, 48-49%: 22%, 50-51%: 26%, 52-53%: 17%, 54-55%: 11%, 56-57%: 7%, 58-59%: 5%, 60-61%: 2%, 62% or above: 1%
Action history:
Suspended Thu 5th Nov 4:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Suspend date: Thu 5th Nov 4:59am PST
Settlement date: Thu 5th Nov 7:40pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 5th Nov 4:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Predictions (76)
2 weeks ago
davesov
predicted
50-51% (H$50 at 42%)
2 weeks ago
roby550
predicted
45% or below (H$20 at 0%)
Comments (2)
notablenotices![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
Comments: 2
dieseldog
: 52
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
Get widget!
undercontrol
predicted 48-49% (H$50 at 36%)
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
Largest second- to third-quarter drop for an elected president
http://www.gallup.com/poll/123806/Obama-Quarterly-Approval-Average-Slips-Nine-Points.aspx
In Gallup Daily tracking that spans Barack Obama's third quarter in office (July 20 through Oct. 19), the president averaged a 53% job approval rating. That is down sharply from his prior quarterly averages, which were both above 60%.
In fact, the 9-point drop in the most recent quarter is the largest Gallup has ever measured for an elected president between the second and third quarters of his term, dating back to 1953. One president who was not elected to his first term -- Harry Truman -- had a 13-point drop between his second and third quarters in office in 1945 and 1946.
The dominant political focus for Obama in the third quarter was the push for healthcare reform, including his nationally televised address to Congress in early September. Obama hoped that Congress would vote on healthcare legislation before its August recess, but that goal was missed, and some members of Congress faced angry constituents at town hall meetings to discuss healthcare reform. Meanwhile, unemployment continued to climb near 10%. The high point of Obama's third quarter may have been his winning of the Nobel Peace Prize during the quarter, which led to a noticeable but very brief bump in support.
More generally, Obama's 9-point slide between quarters ranks as one of the steepest for a president at any point in his first year in office. The highest is Truman's 19-point drop between his third and fourth quarters, followed by a 15-point drop for Gerald Ford between his first and second quarters. The largest for an elected president in his first year is Bill Clinton's 11-point slide between his first and second quarters.
[More at the link...]
http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx
Please log in or join to add a comment