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Who will win the 2009 ASP world tour and become the next surfing world champion?

Background: There are two rounds to go, its close, who will win?? Current Rankings can be seen here: http://www.aspworldtour.com/2009/ratings.asp?rRat=menwct&rNav=Men

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source or http://www.aspworldtour.com

 
Forecast history %
Joel Parkinson
35%
Mick Fanning
47%
C.J. Hobgood
4%
Bede Durbridge
4%
Kelly Slater
5%
Adriano de Souza
4%
Someone Else
2%
Question suspends in 2 weeks

Suspend date: Mon 7th Dec 11:59pm PST (2 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Joel Parkinson: 25%, Mick Fanning: 25%, C.J. Hobgood: 10%, Bede Durbridge: 10%, Kelly Slater: 15%, Adriano de Souza: 10%, Someone Else: 5%

Action history:

Created Tue 20th Oct 8:57pm PST by chrishill

Suspend date: Mon 7th Dec 11:59pm PST (2 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (6)

3 weeks ago
chrishill predicted Mick Fanning (H$2,000 at 32%)
3 weeks ago
chrishill predicted Joel Parkinson (H$2,000 at 41%)
4 weeks ago
chrishill predicted Mick Fanning (H$300 at 28%)
4 weeks ago
chrishill predicted Joel Parkinson (H$300 at 29%)
4 weeks ago
sdchargers[Power User] predicted Mick Fanning (H$250 at 26%)

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