Will Caroline Wozniacki be punished for pulling out of the Luxembourg Open?

Background: Tennis authorities are looking into a WTA Tour match involving U.S. Open finalist Caroline Wozniacki that apparently sparked bettors to pile money on her opponent when she was on the verge of losing in straight sets.

Wozniacki, a 19-year-old Dane ranked sixth in the world, retired from the first-round match at the Luxembourg Open with a hamstring injury on Wednesday while leading Anne Kremer of Luxembourg 7-5, 5-0.

Wozniacki's father, Piotr, told his daughter at 3-0 in the second set to retire before winning because her injury would prevent her from playing in the next round. His comments, apparently spoken in his native Polish, were picked up by microphones and heard by viewers watching the match on the Internet. The father's comments during the match led to a surge in online bets for Kremer to win.

The governing bodies of tennis created a Tennis Integrity Unit last year to combat gambling and match-fixing.

Although it appears unlikely that Wozniacki conspired to fix the match, she could still be fined for "lack of effort" according to International Tennis Federation statutes.
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/tennis/2009-10-22-tennis-gambling_N.htm?csp=34

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Question will settle on decision made this year.
If no decision/punishment has been announced by the end of 2009, question will settle as "No Punishment"

Forecast history %

No Punishment

77%

Wozniacki gets Fined

13%

Wozniacki gets Suspended

Wozniacki gets Fined & Suspended

Other outcome

Question suspends in 4 weeks

Activity: H$11,255
Predictions: 13
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Thu 24th Dec 7:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: No Punishment : 55%, Wozniacki gets Fined : 25%, Wozniacki gets Suspended: 5%, Wozniacki gets Fined & Suspended: 10%, Other outcome: 5%

Action history:

Created Thu 22nd Oct 8:53pm PST by

sdchargers [Power User]

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