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What will President Obama's approval rating be on Thursday November 12th, 2009?

Settled as 52-53%

Background: "What will President Obama's approval rating be after it is updated 1pm (Eastern) Thursday November 12, 2009?"

Settlement details:As reported by Gallup at http://www.gallup.com Thursday after 1:00 pm EST

 
Forecast history %
45% or below
1%
46-47%
1%
48-49%
15%
50-51%
59%
52-53%
19%
54-55%
3%
56-57%
2%
58-59%
1%
60-61%
0%
62% or above
0%
Settled as 52-53% on Thu 12th Nov 11:08am PST

Suspend date: Thu 12th Nov 4:59am PST
Settlement date: Thu 12th Nov 11:08am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 12th Nov 4:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 45% or below: 1%, 46-47%: 8%, 48-49%: 22%, 50-51%: 26%, 52-53%: 17%, 54-55%: 11%, 56-57%: 7%, 58-59%: 5%, 60-61%: 2%, 62% or above: 1%

Action history:

Created Wed 28th Oct 5:48pm PST by notablenotices[Power User]
Suspended Thu 12th Nov 4:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 12th Nov 11:06am PST by bernardo: 53% http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx
Settled as '52-53%' Thu 12th Nov 11:08am PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Thu 12th Nov 4:59am PST
Settlement date: Thu 12th Nov 11:08am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 12th Nov 4:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (86)

1 week ago
aland predicted 50-51% (H$200 at 58%)
1 week ago
tkui predicted 52-53% (H$10 at 29%)
1 week ago
tkui predicted 50-51% (H$10 at 54%)
1 week ago
tkui predicted 48-49% (H$10 at 10%)
1 week ago
jchiavelli predicted 50-51% (H$1,000 at 49%)

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