Who will become the new foreign policy chief of the European Union?

Settled as Someone else

"They also chose Baroness Catherine Ashton, a Briton little known even in her own country, as EU foreign affairs chief under a deal that kept out more established figures such as Tony Blair, and raised questions about how the bloc plans to lift its profile."

http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSLI18977520091119

Background:

Background: " Oct 28 (Reuters) - European Union leaders could discuss the appointment of a powerful representative for foreign policy at a two-day summit in Brussels starting on Thursday.

The EU's Lisbon reform treaty, if ratified, will give enhanced powers to the high representative for foreign policy, who will head an external action service designed to give the bloc more influence on the world stage.

The high representative will answer to EU governments but will also be a vice-president of the European Commission and manage its large external aid budget." http://www.forexyard.com/en/reuters_inner.tpl?action=2009-10-28T134530Z_01_LS699073_RTRIDST_0_EU-FOREIGN-FACTBOX

"The next step depends on the Czech constitutional court ruling on the legality of the Lisbon treaty.
Reinfeldt is preparing for an extra summit, once the stance of the Czech court is clearer. He has tentatively scheduled a meeting for 12 November, though it might be later in the month." http://www.europeanvoice.com/article/imported/power-drains-away-from-lame-duck-commission/66256.aspx

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Carl Bildt (Swedish foreign minister)

Olli Rehn (EU enlargement commissioner)

Michel Barnier (French member of the europ. parl.)

David Miliband (British foreign secretary)

Ursula Plassnik (former Austrian foreign minister)

Franco Frattini (Italian foreign minister)

Someone else

87%

Settled as Someone else on Fri 20th Nov 2:51am PST

Activity: H$17,121
Predictions: 16
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Tue 10th Nov 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 20th Nov 2:51am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 10th Nov 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Carl Bildt (Swedish foreign minister): 20%, Olli Rehn (EU enlargement commissioner) : 8%, Michel Barnier (French member of the europ. parl.): 8%, David Miliband (British foreign secretary): 25%, Ursula Plassnik (former Austrian foreign minister): 8%, Franco Frattini (Italian foreign minister): 8%, Someone else: 23%

Action history:

Created Thu 29th Oct 8:18am PST by

bernardo Level 15, Seer (H$254,896)

Suspended Tue 10th Nov 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Fri 20th Nov 12:47am PST by

bernardo Level 15, Seer (H$254,896)

: Someone else: "Belgian PM Herman van Rompuy was named President of the European Council, while Briton Baroness Catherine Ashton was made EU foreign affairs supremo." http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/8369730.stm

Settled as 'Someone else' Fri 20th Nov 2:51am PST by

sqlman [Admin]

: "They also chose Baroness Catherine Ashton, a Briton little known even in her own country, as EU foreign affairs chief under a deal that kept out more established figures such as Tony Blair, and raised questions about how the bloc plans to lift its profile."

http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSLI18977520091119

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