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Regular gas up or down? Which will come first: $2.80 or $2.60 on or before November 30, 2009?
Background: Gasoline price has been up and down this year. In early summer, the price peaked near $2.65, dropped nicely for a few weeks, but recently rebounded with a vengeance in response to signs of improvement in the economy and rising oil prices. As I write this regular gas costs $2.691 per gallon. Oil prices seem to have stabilized and the autumn is usually not a time of rising gas prices, but lately, nothing has followed the usual pattern. So, where do we go from here?
The question is: Will the price of a gallon of regular gasoline drop to $2.60 or less, rise to 2.80 or more, or remain between the two values between now and November 30, 2009 (inclusive) in the USA, as reported by AAA fuelgaugereport? The price is updated daily in the early morning hours. Due to the extreme volatility of late, I have increased the range to 20 cents!
The question is: Will the price of a gallon of regular gasoline drop to $2.60 or less, rise to 2.80 or more, or remain between the two values between now and November 30, 2009 (inclusive) in the USA, as reported by AAA fuelgaugereport? The price is updated daily in the early morning hours. Due to the extreme volatility of late, I have increased the range to 20 cents!
Settlement details:As reported by the AAA: http://www.fuelgaugereport.com on or before November 30, 2009.
Forecast history %
| Gas drops to $2.60 or below |
| ||||
| Gas rises to $2.80 or more |
| ||||
| Gas does neither by November 31, 2009 (inclusive) |
|
Question suspends in 4 days
- Activity: H$165,929 |
- Predictions: 220 |
Comments: 2
Suspend date: Wed 25th Nov 7:59pm PST (4 days to go)
Initial likelihoods: Gas drops to $2.60 or below: 33%, Gas rises to $2.80 or more: 33%, Gas does neither by November 31, 2009 (inclusive): 34%
Action history:
Suspend date: Wed 25th Nov 7:59pm PST (4 days to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (220)
divakaleigh
predicted Gas does neither by November 31, 2009 (inclusive) (H$200 at 73%)
predicted Gas does neither by November 31, 2009 (inclusive) (H$10 at 80%)
lun8tic1
predicted Gas does neither by November 31, 2009 (inclusive) (H$100 at 80%)Comments (2)
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