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Gallup Daily: Economic outlook. What % of Americans will say "getting better" on Nov 12, 2009?

Settled as 39-40%

Thursday's webpage showed 39% thought America's Economic Outlook was 'getting better', up 1%
http://www.gallup.com/poll/110821/Gallup-Daily-US-Economic-Conditions.aspx

Background:

Background: It's no secret that things are a mess. On January, 20, 2009, only 18% of Americans described the Economic outlook to be getting better (they must have been the bankers who took all our money). The number dropped to a low of 14% in Feb, then climbed to around 35-40% by April, where it has hovered since, struggling to find direction for the past 6 months. Today, October 29, 2009, 38% thought things are getting better (down from 40% 2 wks ago) and 57% thought things were getting worse.
So, the question asks: What will be the % of people who believe that the Economic outlook is getting better, as reported by Gallup on Nov 12, 2009?

Settlement details:As reported by Gallup poll: http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx on Thursday, Nov 12, 2009. Usually updated just after 13:00.

 
Forecast history %
30% or less
2%
31-32%
3%
33-34%
10%
35-36%
23%
37-38%
30%
39-40%
20%
41-42%
4%
43-44%
3%
45-46%
3%
47% or more
2%
Settled as 39-40% on Thu 12th Nov 3:13pm PST

Suspend date: Wed 11th Nov 5:59am PST
Settlement date: Thu 12th Nov 3:13pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 11th Nov 5:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 30% or less: 5%, 31-32%: 8%, 33-34%: 10%, 35-36%: 12%, 37-38%: 15%, 39-40%: 15%, 41-42%: 12%, 43-44%: 10%, 45-46% : 8%, 47% or more: 5%

Action history:

Created Thu 29th Oct 4:13pm PST by tuff_sledding[Power User]
Suspended Wed 11th Nov 5:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 12th Nov 10:31am PST by dieseldog: 39
http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx
Settled as '39-40%' Thu 12th Nov 3:13pm PST by bayoubear[Admin]: Thursday's webpage showed 39% thought America's Economic Outlook was 'getting better', up 1%
http://www.gallup.com/poll/110821/Gallup-Daily-US-Economic-Conditions.aspx

Suspend date: Wed 11th Nov 5:59am PST
Settlement date: Thu 12th Nov 3:13pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 11th Nov 5:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (28)

1 week ago
dieseldog predicted 39-40% (H$101 at 18%)
1 week ago
dieseldog predicted 37-38% (H$130 at 24%)
1 week ago
dieseldog predicted 35-36% (H$130 at 22%)
1 week ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 37-38% (H$300 at 21%)
1 week ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 39-40% (H$200 at 17%)

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