Gallup Daily: Economic outlook. What % of Americans will say "getting better" on Nov 12, 2009?
Background: It's no secret that things are a mess. On January, 20, 2009, only 18% of Americans described the Economic outlook to be getting better (they must have been the bankers who took all our money). The number dropped to a low of 14% in Feb, then climbed to around 35-40% by April, where it has hovered since, struggling to find direction for the past 6 months. Today, October 29, 2009, 38% thought things are getting better (down from 40% 2 wks ago) and 57% thought things were getting worse.
So, the question asks: What will be the % of people who believe that the Economic outlook is getting better, as reported by Gallup on Nov 12, 2009?
Settlement details:As reported by Gallup poll: http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx on Thursday, Nov 12, 2009. Usually updated just after 13:00.
Gallup Daily: Economic outlook. What % of Americans will say "getting better" on Nov 12, 2009?
30% or less
31-32%
33-34%
35-36%
37-38%
39-40%
41-42%
43-44%
45-46%
47% or more
Zoom out
Forecast history %
|
| 30% or less | |
|
| 31-32% | |
|
| 33-34% | |
|
| 35-36% | |
|
| 37-38% | |
|
| 39-40% | |
|
| 41-42% | |
|
| 43-44% | |
|
| 45-46% | |
|
| 47% or more | |
Settled as 39-40% on Thu 12th Nov 3:13pm PST
Suspend date: Wed 11th Nov 5:59am PST
Settlement date: Thu 12th Nov 3:13pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 11th Nov 5:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
30% or less: 5%, 31-32%: 8%, 33-34%: 10%, 35-36%: 12%, 37-38%: 15%, 39-40%: 15%, 41-42%: 12%, 43-44%: 10%, 45-46% : 8%, 47% or more: 5%
Action history:
Suspended Wed 11th Nov 5:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Suspend date: Wed 11th Nov 5:59am PST
Settlement date: Thu 12th Nov 3:13pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 11th Nov 5:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details
Predictions (28)
1 week ago
dieseldog
predicted
39-40% (H$101 at 18%)
1 week ago
dieseldog
predicted
37-38% (H$130 at 24%)
1 week ago
dieseldog
predicted
35-36% (H$130 at 22%)
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