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Will the Verizon Droid be a success & rival the iPhone?

Background: Verizon will be rolling out the new Motorola Droid amongst much advertising fanfare. The Pre has not done well and only RIM seems to be standing up to the iPhone momentum at all.
Positive reviews didn't help the Pre much, but perhaps the combined power of Google, Motorola and Verizon will bring competition to the iPhone?
http://www.pcworld.com/reviews/product/324707/review/droid.html

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
No, less than 1 million phones by end of 2009.
45%
Yes, they sell 1 million phones by end of 2009
32%
Great, they sell 2 million phones by end of 2009
16%
Amazing, 3 millions phones by end of 2009
7%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: No, less than 1 million phones by end of 2009.: 30%, Yes, they sell 1 million phones by end of 2009: 35%, Great, they sell 2 million phones by end of 2009: 25%, Amazing, 3 millions phones by end of 2009: 10%

Action history:

Created Thu 29th Oct 7:40pm PST by mdad8200
Changed Suspend date Sun 15th Nov 12:15pm PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: was: "2010-12-31 23:59:00"

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (10)

1 day ago
jcollie predicted Yes, they sell 1 million phones by end of 2009 (H$100 at 31%)
1 day ago
bohnanza predicted No, less than 1 million phones by end of 2009. (H$500 at 43%)
3 days ago
trashmagnet predicted No, less than 1 million phones by end of 2009. (H$20 at 41%)
3 days ago
mdad8200 predicted Yes, they sell 1 million phones by end of 2009 (H$100 at 33%)
3 days ago
mdad8200 predicted Yes, they sell 1 million phones by end of 2009 (H$100 at 32%)

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