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How many women in the second Barroso Commission?

Settled as Eight-Nine

There are nine females in the Barroso Commission:

http://ec.europa.eu/commission_2010-2014/index_en.htm

Background:

Background: "The question of female participation in EU politics has been in the spotlight throughout 2009, particularly following the launch in May of the 50/50 Initiative, a campaign to ensure equal representation of women and men in the European institutions.
While the 50/50 campaigners were underwhelmed by the results of the June European Parliament elections, noting "slight progress" in that the proportion of women parliamentarians increased from 30% in the 1999-2004 term to 35% today, they and others are awaiting with interest the appointees to the new European Commission.
Commission President Barroso is believed to be pushing hard to have a greater number of women in his new college of commissioners. In his first college, following various reshuffles, Barroso had a maximum of eight female commissioners out of 27. Indeed, he asked the two EU newcomers, Bulgaria and Romania, to propose female commissioners when the countries joined in 2007.
However it is far from certain that there will be more women under Barroso II. So far Bulgaria has announced a female candidate (Rumiana Jeleva), and Luxembourg, Sweden, Austria and Cyprus are expected to appoint or reappoint female commissioners."
http://www.euractiv.com/en/future-eu/robinson-heads-list-female-candidates-top-jobs/article-186351

The question will be settled when the next Barroso Commission will be instated. As it looks now that this will not happen before January 2010, I am setting suspension time at the end of December 2009
http://euobserver.com/9/28918

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Five or less
0%
Six-Seven
3%
Eight-Nine
94%
Ten-Eleven
3%
Twelve or more
0%
Settled as Eight-Nine on Tue 16th Mar 1:01pm PST

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 2:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 16th Mar 1:01pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Five or less: 5%, Six-Seven: 25%, Eight-Nine: 40%, Ten-Eleven: 25%, Twelve or more: 5%

Action history:

Created Fri 30th Oct 2009 10:31am PST by bgrigore
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 2:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 16th Feb 5:44am PST by bgrigore: Nine women in the second Barroso Commission, as approved by European Parliament on February 9th.
http://ec.europa.eu/commission_2010-2014/index_en.htm
Settled as 'Eight-Nine' Tue 16th Mar 1:01pm PST by sqlman[Admin]: There are nine females in the Barroso Commission:

http://ec.europa.eu/commission_2010-2014/index_en.htm

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 2:59pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 16th Mar 1:01pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 2:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (13)

11 weeks ago
davesov predicted Eight-Nine (H$1,000 at 95%)
11 weeks ago
bigken1 predicted Eight-Nine (H$2,222 at 93%)
12 weeks ago
bernardo predicted Eight-Nine (H$2,000 at 89%)
12 weeks ago
bernardo predicted Eight-Nine (H$5,000 at 76%)
18 weeks ago
jank predicted Six-Seven (H$100 at 34%)

Comments (1)

  1 bgrigore
Nine women in the list of Commission nominees.
The hearings in European Parliament are expected to begin January 11th. The new Commission may be instated at end January - first days of February.
http://euobserver.com/9/29043/?rk=1
"MEPs, however, may prove an upset. They are anxious to re-demonstrate the powers won in 2004 when they pressured an Italian nominee to be withdrawn."
In 2004 Italian nominee Mr. Buttiglione had been withdrawn by Italy and replaced by foreign minister Franco Frattini, László Kovács was moved from Energy to Taxation and Ingrida Udre was withdrawn and replaced by Andris Piebalgs who took over the vacant post of Energy.
So two of the nominees were withdrawn.
posted 16 weeks ago

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