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How many women in the second Barroso Commission?

Background: "The question of female participation in EU politics has been in the spotlight throughout 2009, particularly following the launch in May of the 50/50 Initiative, a campaign to ensure equal representation of women and men in the European institutions.
While the 50/50 campaigners were underwhelmed by the results of the June European Parliament elections, noting "slight progress" in that the proportion of women parliamentarians increased from 30% in the 1999-2004 term to 35% today, they and others are awaiting with interest the appointees to the new European Commission.
Commission President Barroso is believed to be pushing hard to have a greater number of women in his new college of commissioners. In his first college, following various reshuffles, Barroso had a maximum of eight female commissioners out of 27. Indeed, he asked the two EU newcomers, Bulgaria and Romania, to propose female commissioners when the countries joined in 2007.
However it is far from certain that there will be more women under Barroso II. So far Bulgaria has announced a female candidate (Rumiana Jeleva), and Luxembourg, Sweden, Austria and Cyprus are expected to appoint or reappoint female commissioners."
http://www.euractiv.com/en/future-eu/robinson-heads-list-female-candidates-top-jobs/article-186351

The question will be settled when the next Barroso Commission will be instated. As it looks now that this will not happen before January 2010, I am setting suspension time at the end of December 2009
http://euobserver.com/9/28918

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Five or less
2%
Six-Seven
33%
Eight-Nine
50%
Ten-Eleven
12%
Twelve or more
2%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Five or less: 5%, Six-Seven: 25%, Eight-Nine: 40%, Ten-Eleven: 25%, Twelve or more: 5%

Action history:

Created Fri 30th Oct 10:31am PST by bgrigore

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (6)

1 week ago
jank predicted Six-Seven (H$100 at 34%)
1 week ago
jank predicted Six-Seven (H$100 at 32%)

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