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US dollar: up or down vs. the Euro? Which will come first: $1.44 or $1.50 by Nov. 30, 2009?

Background: The Euro started the year at about $ US 1.39, but dropped to a low of 1.254 in early March. For several weeks, the greenback had been bouncing in a narrow range between $1.40 and 1.45 to the € but broke above that range in early September. Currently, the rate is $1.4715 = 1€. Will the Euro continue to climb, stall or will the greenback fight back?

So, the question is: will the value of the € drop to $1.44 or less, rise to $1.50 or more, or remain between the two values by close of trading on November 30, 2009? Settlement will be based on closing price as reported on www.finance.yahoo.com between now and close of trading on November 30, 2009.

Settlement details:As reported by http://finance.yahoo.com/currency-investing

 
Forecast history %
€ drops to $1.44 or below - the dollar rocks
4%
€ rises to $1.50 or more - the $ sucks
33%
€ does neither by Nov. 30, 2009, inclusive
63%
Question suspends in 4 days

Suspend date: Wed 25th Nov 11:59am PST (4 days to go)

Initial likelihoods: € drops to $1.44 or below - the dollar rocks: 33%, € rises to $1.50 or more - the $ sucks: 33%, € does neither by Nov. 30, 2009, inclusive: 34%

Action history:

Created Sat 31st Oct 5:32am PST by tuff_sledding[Power User]

Suspend date: Wed 25th Nov 11:59am PST (4 days to go) details

 

Predictions (31)

2 days ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted € does neither by Nov. 30, 2009, inclusive (H$300 at 15%)
2 days ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted € does neither by Nov. 30, 2009, inclusive (H$200 at 10%)
1 week ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted € does neither by Nov. 30, 2009, inclusive (H$400 at 10%)
1 week ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted € rises to $1.50 or more - the $ sucks (H$800 at 77%)
1 week ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted € rises to $1.50 or more - the $ sucks (H$800 at 71%)

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