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How many of the 50 US states + DC will have double digit unemployment in October 2009?

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Background:

Background: As of the September state-by-state totals, there were 14 states + DC = total of 15 with double digit unemployment, unchanged from August. The economy seems to be stabilizing, but consumer spending is anemic and housing and other sectors are still struggling.
Recent history:
April 2009: 8
May 2009: 14
June 2009:16
July 2009: 16
Aug 2009: 15
Sept 2009: 15
Can you predict how many states (+DC) will have 10% or more unemployment rate for October 2009? Settlement will be based on Local Area Unemployment Statistics released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics for the month of October: http://www.bls.gov/web/laumstrk.htm.

Settlement details:Settlement will be based on Local Area Unemployment Statistics released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics: http://www.bls.gov/web/laumstrk.htm

 
Forecast history %
11 states or fewer
2%
12 states
2%
13 states
6%
14 states
15%
15 states
23%
16 states
29%
17 states
16%
18 states
4%
19 states or more
2%
Predictions on this question are temporarily suspended

Suspend date: Tue 10th Nov 7:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: 11 states or fewer : 5%, 12 states: 8%, 13 states: 12%, 14 states: 16%, 15 states: 18%, 16 states: 16%, 17 states: 12%, 18 states: 8%, 19 states or more: 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 31st Oct 10:13am PST by tuff_sledding[Power User]
Suspended Tue 10th Nov 7:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 20th Nov 1pm PST by mickeydaniel: Please settle as 15 total states + DC. http://www.bls.gov/web/laumstrk.htm

Suspend date: Tue 10th Nov 7:59pm PST details

 

Predictions (30)

1 week ago
mdad8200 predicted 14 states (H$20 at 15%)
1 week ago
frogchop predicted 16 states (H$250 at 28%)
1 week ago
frogchop predicted 17 states (H$250 at 15%)
1 week ago
tkui predicted 16 states (H$30 at 27%)
1 week ago
modigs2000 predicted 16 states (H$20 at 26%)

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