
How many of the 50 US states + DC will have double digit unemployment in October 2009?
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Background:>
Background: As of the September state-by-state totals, there were 14 states + DC = total of 15 with double digit unemployment, unchanged from August. The economy seems to be stabilizing, but consumer spending is anemic and housing and other sectors are still struggling.
Recent history:
April 2009: 8
May 2009: 14
June 2009:16
July 2009: 16
Aug 2009: 15
Sept 2009: 15
Can you predict how many states (+DC) will have 10% or more unemployment rate for October 2009? Settlement will be based on Local Area Unemployment Statistics released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics for the month of October: http://www.bls.gov/web/laumstrk.htm.
Recent history:
April 2009: 8
May 2009: 14
June 2009:16
July 2009: 16
Aug 2009: 15
Sept 2009: 15
Can you predict how many states (+DC) will have 10% or more unemployment rate for October 2009? Settlement will be based on Local Area Unemployment Statistics released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics for the month of October: http://www.bls.gov/web/laumstrk.htm.
Settlement details:Settlement will be based on Local Area Unemployment Statistics released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics: http://www.bls.gov/web/laumstrk.htm
| 11 states or fewer |
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| 12 states |
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| 13 states |
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| 14 states |
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| 15 states |
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| 16 states |
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| 17 states |
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| 18 states |
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| 19 states or more |
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Predictions on this question are temporarily suspended
- Activity: H$5,998 |
- Predictions: 30 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Tue 10th Nov 7:59pm PST
Initial likelihoods: 11 states or fewer : 5%, 12 states: 8%, 13 states: 12%, 14 states: 16%, 15 states: 18%, 16 states: 16%, 17 states: 12%, 18 states: 8%, 19 states or more: 5%
Action history:
Suspended Tue 10th Nov 7:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Fri 20th Nov 1pm PST by
mickeydaniel
: Please settle as 15 total states + DC. http://www.bls.gov/web/laumstrk.htm
Suspend date: Tue 10th Nov 7:59pm PST details
Predictions (30)
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