Created Sun 1st Nov 5:28am PST by

How many days will the Dow close over 10,000 in November?

Background: We've finally made it back to 10,000 only to see the Dow fail to close above that level at all during the last week of October.

Will the DJIA get back over the 10,000 point hump in November, and if so, how many times?

The NYSE should be open 20 days in November, closing for Thanksgiving and having a short trading day on the day afterwards. Question will remain valid if the market does not open on any particular day, it will just count as a day not over 10,000.

Question will suspend on Monday, November 23, about mid-day. This will allow for four more trading sessions before the end of the month.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Dow does not close above 10,000 in November

Dow closes above 10,000 1-4 days

Dow closes above 10,000 5-8 days

Dow closes above 10,000 9-12 days

Dow closes above 10,000 13-16 days

32%

Dow closes above 10,000 17 or more days

64%

Question suspends in 2 days

Activity: H$36,070
Predictions: 136
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Mon 23rd Nov 10am PST (2 days to go)

Initial likelihoods: Dow does not close above 10,000 in November: 10%, Dow closes above 10,000 1-4 days: 18%, Dow closes above 10,000 5-8 days: 30%, Dow closes above 10,000 9-12 days: 24%, Dow closes above 10,000 13-16 days: 12%, Dow closes above 10,000 17 or more days: 6%

Action history:

Created Sun 1st Nov 5:28am PST by

bayoubear [Admin]

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