Who will win the 2009 WGC-HSBC Champions Tournament?

Settled as Last name begins w/ letter M - N

Phil Mickelson
http://scores.europeantour.com/default.sps?pagegid={8455C601-B598-43F0-AE27-8559DC7985DD}&redirectorid=leaderboard&eventid=2009092&ieventno=2009092&infosid=2

Background:

Background: http://www.hsbcgolf.com/
http://www.pgatour.com/tournaments/r489/
(To include everyone in the field, with close to equal number of players per option, they are grouped by last name)

The WGC - HSBC Champions is the fourth and final World Golf Championship of the 2009 season and the only one played outside the United States of America.
It is a 72 hole stroke play event, with no cut.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Last name begins w/ letter A - B

Last name begins w/ letter C - D

Last name begins w/ letter E - G

Last name begins w/ letter H - J

Last name begins w/ letter K - L

Last name begins w/ letter M - N

40%

Last name begins w/ letter O - Q

Last name begins w/ letter R - S

Last name begins w/ letter T - V

Last name begins w/ letter W - Z

42%

Settled as Last name begins w/ letter M - N on Sun 8th Nov 2009 7:24am PST

Activity: H$11,529
Predictions: 31
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Sat 7th Nov 2009 5:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 8th Nov 2009 7:24am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Nov 2009 5:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Last name begins w/ letter A - B: 5%, Last name begins w/ letter C - D: 5%, Last name begins w/ letter E - G: 5%, Last name begins w/ letter H - J: 10%, Last name begins w/ letter K - L: 5%, Last name begins w/ letter M - N: 15%, Last name begins w/ letter O - Q: 10%, Last name begins w/ letter R - S: 5%, Last name begins w/ letter T - V: 5%, Last name begins w/ letter W - Z: 35%

Action history:

Created Sun 1st Nov 2009 6:14pm PST by

sdchargers [Power User]

Suspended Sat 7th Nov 2009 5:59pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sun 8th Nov 2009 2:29am PST by

pitchedoutsideleg [Power User]

: Phil Mickelson
http://scores.europeantour.com/default.sps?pagegid={8455C601-B598-43F0-AE27-8559DC7985DD}&redirectorid=leaderboard&eventid=2009092&ieventno=2009092&infosid=2

Settled as 'Last name begins w/ letter M - N' Sun 8th Nov 2009 7:24am PST by

mrperfkt [Admin]

: Phil Mickelson
http://scores.europeantour.com/default.sps?pagegid={8455C601-B598-43F0-AE27-8559DC7985DD}&redirectorid=leaderboard&eventid=2009092&ieventno=2009092&infosid=2

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