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Will Pakistani Taliban Leader Hakimullah Mehsud be caught in 2009?

Background: Pakistan on Monday offered rewards worth five million dollars for information leading to the capture, dead or alive, of the country's Taliban warlord Hakimullah Mehsud and 18 lieutenants.

Mehsud, who took on the leadership mantle after a US drone attack killed his predecessor Baitullah Mehsud in August, headed the list with 50 million Pakistan rupees (600,240 dollars) slapped on his head.

http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5hk_YG0G2TW8hz4r7DKC_p-umDcyA

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Dead or alive.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
6%
No
94%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Mon 2nd Nov 12:03am PST by kruijs[Power User]

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (22)

1 week ago
msellen predicted Yes (H$20 at 6%)
1 week ago
nyharel predicted Yes (H$70 at 6%)
2 weeks ago
unicycleguy1 predicted No (H$20 at 91%)
2 weeks ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 17%)
2 weeks ago
sonjajh predicted No (H$50 at 85%)

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