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Dow - Up or down ? Which comes first, 9500 or 10,000?

Settled as Dow closes above 10,000 first

DJIA closed above 10,000 on Thursday at 10005.96

Settlement will be effective as of 4:00 PM EST on Thursday...wagers placed later will be voided and refunded

Background:

Background: Closing price counts not intraday trading.
Category editor may suspend 1 hour before market close if close to settlement.

At close of trading Mon 30 November
Suspends Wednesday 25 November

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Dow closes above 10,000 first
85%
Dow closes below 9,500 first
5%
Dow does neither before 30 November 09
10%
Settled as Dow closes above 10,000 first on Fri 6th Nov 2009 10:20am PST

Suspend date: Wed 25th Nov 2009 5am PST
Settlement date: Fri 6th Nov 2009 10:20am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 5th Nov 2009 1pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Dow closes above 10,000 first : 40%, Dow closes below 9,500 first: 40%, Dow does neither before 30 November 09: 20%

Action history:

Created Tue 3rd Nov 2009 7:16am PST by gonegonegone
Suspended Thu 5th Nov 2009 5:52pm PST by destry[Admin]
Settled as 'Dow closes above 10,000 first ' Fri 6th Nov 2009 10:20am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: DJIA closed above 10,000 on Thursday at 10005.96

Settlement will be effective as of 4:00 PM EST on Thursday...wagers placed later will be voided and refunded
Settled as 'Dow closes above 10,000 first ' Fri 6th Nov 2009 10:20am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: DJIA closed above 10,000 on Thursday at 10005.96

Settlement will be effective as of 4:00 PM EST on Thursday...wagers placed later will be voided and refunded
Settled as 'Dow closes above 10,000 first ' Fri 6th Nov 2009 10:20am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: DJIA closed above 10,000 on Thursday at 10005.96

Settlement will be effective as of 4:00 PM EST on Thursday...wagers placed later will be voided and refunded

Suspend date: Wed 25th Nov 2009 5am PST
Settlement date: Fri 6th Nov 2009 10:20am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 5th Nov 2009 1pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (152)

19 weeks ago
gainesta09 predicted Dow closes above 10,000 first (H$100 at 79%)
19 weeks ago
curly predicted Dow closes above 10,000 first (H$250 at 87%)
19 weeks ago
thecrazycanuck predicted Dow closes above 10,000 first (H$100 at 87%)
19 weeks ago
curly predicted Dow closes above 10,000 first (H$2,500 at 87%)
19 weeks ago
jank predicted Dow does neither before 30 November 09 (H$500 at 10%)

Comments (2)

  1 bgrigore
Second option says below 9,250
Question says 9,500
Could this be corrected please?
posted 19 weeks ago
Flagged for repair. 9,500 is correct.
posted 19 weeks ago

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gonegonegone
96% of previous questions settled successfully
97 settled, 4 voided