Created Tue 3rd Nov 12:16pm PST by

Will "This Is It" earn at least $54,5m after 12 days?

Settled as Yes

Background: Six questions this week. Box office performance. #1 last weekend.

I will add all movies with a 20m+ first weekend and will stop the weekly questions when there is little acticity or the movie falls below 5m a week (???).

The value 54,5m consists of:
Up to this weekend: 34,4
Monday-Thursday: 9,5 (my estimate modell)
Next weekend: 10,6 (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/derbygame/)

I don´t want to change to 51% to 49% and similar in starting odds - therefore I use one digit more in box office numbers.

my original information:

MICHAEL JACKSON'S THIS IS IT
Release Date: 10/28/09 (Wednesday)
Distributor: Sony / Columbia
Genre: Concert
MPAA Rating: PG

Settlement details:As reported by http://boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=showtimes&id=michaeljacksonthisisit.htm with the final weekend numbers on Monday, November 9nd .

Forecast history %

Yes

66%

34%

Settled as Yes on Mon 9th Nov 4:04pm PST

Activity: H$30,724
Predictions: 16
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Sat 7th Nov 3:05am PST
Settlement date: Mon 9th Nov 4:04pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Nov 3:05am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Tue 3rd Nov 12:16pm PST by

hfl13

Suspended Sat 7th Nov 3:05am PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'Yes' Mon 9th Nov 4:04pm PST by