Created Tue 3rd Nov 12:34pm PST by

Will "SAW VI" earn at least $26,6m after 17 days?

Settled as No

Background: Six questions this week. Box office performance. Last week.

I will add all movies with a 20m+ first weekend and will stop the weekly questions when there is little acticity or the movie falls below 3m a week.

The value 26,6m consists of:
Up to this weekend: 22,5
Monday-Thursday: 1,6 (my estimate modell)
Next weekend: 2,5 (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/derbygame/)

I don´t want to change to 51% to 49% and similar in starting odds - therefore I use one digit more in box office numbers.

my original information:

SAW VI
Release Date: 10/23/09
Distributor: Lionsgate
Genre: Horror
MPAA Rating: R
Theaters:3036

Settlement details:As reported by http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=saw6.htm with the final weekend numbers on Monday, November 9nd .

Forecast history %

Yes

58%

42%

Settled as No on Mon 9th Nov 4:04pm PST

Activity: H$19,372
Predictions: 11
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Sat 7th Nov 3:05am PST
Settlement date: Mon 9th Nov 4:04pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Nov 3:05am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Tue 3rd Nov 12:34pm PST by

hfl13

Suspended Sat 7th Nov 3:05am PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'No' Mon 9th Nov 4:04pm PST by