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Will "Where the Wild Things are" earn at least $67,6m after 24 days?

Settled as Yes

Background: Six questions this week. Box office performance. Last week.

I will add all movies with a 20m+ first weekend and will stop the weekly questions when there is little acticity or the movie falls below 3m a week.

The value 67,6m consists of:
Up to this weekend: 62,7
Monday-Thursday: 1,6 (my estimate modell)
Next weekend: 3,3 (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/derbygame/)

I donīt want to change to 51% to 49% and similar in starting odds - therefore I use one digit more in box office numbers.

my original information:

WHERE THE WILD THINGS ARE
Release Date: 10/16/09
Distributor: Warner Bros.
Genre: Family Adventure
Running Time: 1 hrs. 34 min.
MPAA Rating: PG

Director: Spike Jonze
Actors: Paul Dano
Benicio Del Toro
James Gandolfini
Catherine Keener
Tom Noonan
Catherine O'Hara
Forest Whitaker
Michelle Williams
Producer: Tom Hanks

Settlement details:As reported by http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=wherethewildthingsare.htm with the final weekend numbers on Monday, November 9nd .

 
Forecast history %
Yes
88%
No
12%
Settled as Yes on Mon 9th Nov 2009 4:04pm PST

Suspend date: Sat 7th Nov 2009 3:05am PST
Settlement date: Mon 9th Nov 2009 4:04pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Nov 2009 3:05am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Tue 3rd Nov 2009 12:46pm PST by hfl13
Suspended Sat 7th Nov 2009 3:05am PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Yes' Mon 9th Nov 2009 4:04pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]

Suspend date: Sat 7th Nov 2009 3:05am PST
Settlement date: Mon 9th Nov 2009 4:04pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Nov 2009 3:05am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (13)

19 weeks ago
fenricstoast predicted Yes (H$20 at 88%)
19 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg[Power User] predicted Yes (H$10,000 at 74%)
19 weeks ago
chull predicted Yes (H$500 at 67%)
19 weeks ago
cowboys1 predicted No (H$230 at 33%)
19 weeks ago
mungo10 predicted No (H$33 at 33%)

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