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Will "Couples Retreat" earn at least $93,2m after 31 days?

Settled as Yes

Background: Five questions this week. Box office performance.

I will add all movies with a 20m+ first weekend and will stop the weekly questions when there is little acticity or the movie falls below 3m a week.

The value 93,2m consists of:
Up to this weekend: 87,0
Monday-Thursday: 1,9 (my estimate modell)
Next weekend: 4,3 (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/derbygame/)

I donīt want to change to 51% to 49% and similar in starting odds - therefore I use one digit more in box office numbers.

my original information:

COUPLES RETREAT
Release Date: 10/09/09
Distributor: Universal
Genre: Comedy Running
Time: 1 hrs. 47 min.
MPAA Rating: PG-13
Theaters: 3000

Actors: Vince Vaughn
Jason Bateman
Jon Favreau
Malin Akerman
Kristin Davis
Kristen Bell
Jean Reno

Settlement details:As reported by http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=couplesretreat.htm with the final weekend numbers on Monday, November 9nd .

 
Forecast history %
Yes
81%
No
19%
Settled as Yes on Mon 9th Nov 4:04pm PST

Suspend date: Sat 7th Nov 3:05am PST
Settlement date: Mon 9th Nov 4:04pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Nov 3:05am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Tue 3rd Nov 12:59pm PST by hfl13
Suspended Sat 7th Nov 3:05am PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Yes' Mon 9th Nov 4:04pm PST by jenniandboys[Admin]

Suspend date: Sat 7th Nov 3:05am PST
Settlement date: Mon 9th Nov 4:04pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Nov 3:05am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (9)

2 weeks ago
undercontrol predicted No (H$50 at 19%)
2 weeks ago
undercontrol predicted Yes (H$200 at 81%)
2 weeks ago
fenricstoast predicted Yes (H$20 at 80%)
2 weeks ago
philbartu predicted No (H$50 at 20%)
2 weeks ago
chull predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 77%)

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