Breeders' Cup Classic: who will win?

Settled as Zenyatta

Zenyatta
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/more/11/07/zenyatta.ap/index.html?section=si_latest

Background:

Background: http://www.breederscup.com/
Breeders' Cup Classic (Grade I)
$5,000,000
Three-Year-Olds and Up
1 1/4 Miles
Saturday, November 7, 2009

Post Position - Horse - (Morning Line Odds)
1) Mine That Bird (12-1)
2) Colonel John (12-1)
3) Summer Bird (9-2)
4) Zenyatta (5-2)
5) Twice Over (20-1)
6) Richard's Kid (12-1)
7) Gio Ponti (12-1)
8) Einstein (12-1)
9) Girolamo (20-1)
10) Rip Van Winkle (7-2)
11) Regal Ransom (20-1)
12) Quality Road (12-1)
13) Awesome Gem (30-1)

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Zenyatta

22%

Rip Van Winkle

18%

Summer Bird

14%

Mine That Bird

Colonel John

Gio Ponti

Quality Road

20%

Twice Over or Einstein

Girolamo or Richard's Kid

Awesome Gem or Regal Ransom

Settled as Zenyatta on Sat 7th Nov 4:37pm PST

Activity: H$5,627
Predictions: 39
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Sat 7th Nov 3:40pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 7th Nov 4:37pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Nov 3:40pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Zenyatta: 25%, Rip Van Winkle: 20%, Summer Bird: 12%, Mine That Bird: 7%, Colonel John: 7%, Gio Ponti: 7%, Quality Road: 7%, Twice Over or Einstein: 7%, Girolamo or Richard's Kid: 5%, Awesome Gem or Regal Ransom: 3%

Action history:

Created Tue 3rd Nov 3:48pm PST by

sdchargers [Power User]

Suspended Sat 7th Nov 3:40pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Sat 7th Nov 4:16pm PST by

sdchargers [Power User]

: Zenyatta
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2009/more/11/07/zenyatta.ap/index.html?section=si_latest

Settled as 'Zenyatta' Sat 7th Nov 4:37pm PST by