Breeders' Cup Marathon: who will win?

Settled as Man of Iron

Man of Iron
http://www.breederscup.com/content.aspx?id=43226

Background:

Background: http://www.breederscup.com/
Breeders' Cup Marathon
$500,000
Three-Year-Olds & Up
1 3/4 Miles
Friday, November 6, 2009

Post Position - Horse (Odds)
1) Black Astor (12-1)
2) Muhannak (12-1)
3) Nite Light (4-1)
4) Cloudy's Knight (8-1)
5) Father Time (3-1)
6) Mastery (9-5)
7) Sir Dave (20-1)
8) Eldaafer (30-1)
9) Man of Iron (8-1)
10) Gangbuster (30-1)

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Mastery

34%

Father Time

23%

Nite Light

13%

Cloudy's Knight

Man of Iron

Black Astor

Muhannak

Sir Dave

Eldaafer

Gangbuster

Settled as Man of Iron on Fri 6th Nov 5:23pm PST

Activity: H$759
Predictions: 5
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Fri 6th Nov 12:30pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 6th Nov 5:23pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 6th Nov 12:30pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Mastery: 32%, Father Time: 20%, Nite Light: 15%, Cloudy's Knight: 8%, Man of Iron: 8%, Black Astor: 5%, Muhannak: 5%, Sir Dave: 3%, Eldaafer: 2%, Gangbuster: 2%

Action history:

Created Tue 3rd Nov 4:24pm PST by

sdchargers [Power User]

Suspended Fri 6th Nov 12:30pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Fri 6th Nov 3:27pm PST by

sdchargers [Power User]

: Man of Iron
http://www.breederscup.com/content.aspx?id=43226

Settled as 'Man of Iron' Fri 6th Nov 5:23pm PST by