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What will President Obama's approval rating be on Thursday November 19th, 2009?

Settled as 50-51%

Background: "What will President Obama's approval rating be after it is updated 1pm (Eastern) Thursday November 19, 2009?"

Settlement details:As reported by Gallup at http://www.gallup.com Thursday after 1:00 pm EST

 
Forecast history %
45% or below
0%
46-47%
1%
48-49%
9%
50-51%
62%
52-53%
27%
54-55%
1%
56-57%
0%
58-59%
0%
60-61%
0%
62% or above
0%
Settled as 50-51% on Thu 19th Nov 9:25pm PST

Suspend date: Thu 19th Nov 4:59am PST
Settlement date: Thu 19th Nov 9:25pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 19th Nov 4:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 45% or below: 1%, 46-47%: 8%, 48-49%: 22%, 50-51%: 26%, 52-53%: 17%, 54-55%: 11%, 56-57%: 7%, 58-59%: 5%, 60-61%: 2%, 62% or above: 1%

Action history:

Created Tue 3rd Nov 5:16pm PST by notablenotices[Power User]
Suspended Thu 19th Nov 4:59am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 19th Nov 9:13pm PST by dieseldog: 50
http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx
Settled as '50-51%' Thu 19th Nov 9:25pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Thu 19th Nov 4:59am PST
Settlement date: Thu 19th Nov 9:25pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 19th Nov 4:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (57)

2 days ago
anifersgirl predicted 50-51% (H$20 at 60%)
2 days ago
pheng predicted 50-51% (H$100 at 59%)
2 days ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 48-49% (H$100 at 10%)
2 days ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 50-51% (H$500 at 68%)
2 days ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted 48-49% (H$200 at 7%)

Comments (13)

Obama suffers poll blow a year after taking office
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/us_and_americas/article6902283.ece
Republican Bob McDonnell easily won the Virginia governor’s race last night just a year after the state went overwhelmingly for President Obama and the Democrats.

Unofficial results showed the former state attorney general defeated his Democratic opponent Creigh Deeds. The state had a Republican governor for the past eight years.

The Virginia race and the contest for governor of New Jersey are viewed as the first referendum on Mr Obama and the Democratic Congress before the 2010 mid-term elections.

A year ago, Mr Obama became the first Democrat in 44 years to carry Virginia in a presidential race. This time voters expressed concern about major Obama initiatives such as health care, energy and stimulus spending.

Mr Obama’s political influence was on the line in two state gubernatorial elections that could serve as warning signs for Democrats about America’s mood heading into the 2010 congressional elections.

Interviews with voters leaving polling stations in Virginia showed that independents broke heavily for the Republican contestant.
posted 2 weeks ago
  2 coolkraft
exit polls show votes were state oriented and had nothing to do with him...it was the economy...which has 8 years of republican massive spending and financial corruption
posted 2 weeks ago
  3 coolkraft
and they won another seat in the house...as an independent I wish we had the option of a third party
posted 2 weeks ago
Here is Nancy Pelosi lying (again) - this time she claims that "a Republican has held the seat [NY23] since the Civil War".

http://www.politico.com/livepulse/1109/Pelosi_dismisses_impact_of_New_Jersey_Virginia.html
"From our perspective, we won last night," the California Democrat told reporters during a Wednesday photo op. "We had one race that we were engaged in, it was in northern New York, it was a race where a Republican has held the seat since the Civil War. And we won that seat. So, from our standpoint, no, a candidate was victorious who supports health care reform, and his remarks last night said this was a victory for health care reform and other initiatives for the American people."

"From our standpoint, we picked up votes last night," a cheerful Pelosi said, "one in California and one in New York."
posted 2 weeks ago
Nancy Pelosi is the American version of Baghdad Bob.
posted 2 weeks ago
  7 chatarra
@CoolKraft
"as an independent I wish we had the option of a third party"

As a conservative I wish we had the option of a third party.
posted 2 days ago
  8 chatarra
Man, I took a hit on this one today. First time I have seen it dip to 50% and then stay there for 2 days straight. I bet on the non-existent rebound.
posted 1 day ago
  9 dieseldog
gallop refuses to post anything below 50. :)
posted 1 day ago
  10 dieseldog
oppsy look like i was wrong. :O)
posted 15 hours ago
  11 frogchop
@chatarra
"As a conservative I wish we had the option of a third party."

As a registered Democrat (not much longer), I wish we had a Libertarian party that had a chance of winning a few seats.
posted 15 hours ago
  12 chatarra
@FrogChop,
I would vote Libertarian all the way, except for one thing. National Defense.
I am fiscally conservative, but socially liberal. To me, that fits in with the Libertarian viewpoint very well.
Political correctness keeps us (as a country) from saying this out loud, but we are at war with radical Islam
and Libertarians make no provisions to protect our borders.
That is the single issue that keeps me from voting a complete 3rd party ticket.
(Although if the election were held today, I could not vote for either Repub & Democ with a clear conscience.)
posted 14 hours ago
  13 chatarra
@ 3 & 11,
This is pretty interesting.
We have a Democrat, Independent and Republican all wishing for a legitimate 3rd party choice.

FrogChop - You can count on my support for your upcoming bid for POTUS. ;-)
posted 14 hours ago

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