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What will President Obama's approval rating be on Thursday November 26th, 2009?

Background: "What will President Obama's approval rating be after it is updated 1pm (Eastern) Thursday November 26, 2009?"

Settlement details:As reported by Gallup at http://www.gallup.com Thursday after 1:00 pm EST

 
Forecast history %
45% or below
1%
46-47%
13%
48-49%
36%
50-51%
24%
52-53%
14%
54-55%
6%
56-57%
3%
58-59%
1%
60-61%
0%
62% or above
1%
Question suspends in 5 days

Suspend date: Thu 26th Nov 4:59am PST (5 days to go)

Initial likelihoods: 45% or below: 1%, 46-47%: 8%, 48-49%: 22%, 50-51%: 26%, 52-53%: 17%, 54-55%: 11%, 56-57%: 7%, 58-59%: 5%, 60-61%: 2%, 62% or above: 1%

Action history:

Created Tue 3rd Nov 5:18pm PST by notablenotices[Power User]

Suspend date: Thu 26th Nov 4:59am PST (5 days to go) details

 

Predictions (51)

6 hours ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 48-49% (H$200 at 35%)
6 hours ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 46-47% (H$100 at 12%)
6 hours ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 46-47% (H$300 at 8%)
6 hours ago
flnative predicted 48-49% (H$100 at 33%)
6 hours ago
flnative predicted 48-49% (H$100 at 32%)

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