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Breeders' Cup Turf: who will win?

Settled as Conduit

Conduit
http://www.breederscup.com/content.aspx?id=43340

Background:

Background: http://www.breederscup.com/
Emirates Airline Breeders' Cup Turf (Grade I)
$3,000,000
Three-Year-Olds & Up
1 1/2 Miles (Turf)
Saturday, November 7, 2009

Post Position - Horse (Odds)
1) Telling (20-1)
2) Conduit (7-5)
3) Red Rocks (20-1)
4) Allegre (50-1)
5) Dar Re Mi (3-1)
6) Presious Passion (4-1)
7) Spanish Moon (5-2)
8) Monzante (30-1)

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Conduit
45%
Spanish Moon
18%
Dar Re Mi
17%
Presious Passion
8%
Red Rocks
4%
Telling
4%
Monzante
3%
Allegre
2%
Settled as Conduit on Sat 7th Nov 4:39pm PST

Suspend date: Sat 7th Nov 2:55pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 7th Nov 4:39pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Nov 2:55pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Conduit: 45%, Spanish Moon: 15%, Dar Re Mi : 15%, Presious Passion: 10%, Red Rocks : 5%, Telling: 5%, Monzante: 3%, Allegre: 2%

Action history:

Created Tue 3rd Nov 6:08pm PST by sdchargers[Power User]
Suspended Sat 7th Nov 2:55pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 7th Nov 4:13pm PST by sdchargers[Power User]: Conduit
http://www.breederscup.com/content.aspx?id=43340
Settled as 'Conduit' Sat 7th Nov 4:39pm PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: Conduit
http://www.breederscup.com/content.aspx?id=43340

Suspend date: Sat 7th Nov 2:55pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 7th Nov 4:39pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Nov 2:55pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (5)

2 weeks ago
hubdubbob predicted Dar Re Mi (H$200 at 15%)
2 weeks ago
badgersfan predicted Spanish Moon (H$300 at 17%)
2 weeks ago
undercontrol predicted Conduit (H$20 at 45%)

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