NASCAR Dickies 500--How many drivers will finish in the same place as their car number?

Settled as None

http://sports.yahoo.com/nascar/sprint/races/54/results?year=2009

Background:

Background: During the first half of the season, the results were
none=6 times, 1=11 times, 2=1, 3 or more= 0

Lifelock 400- none
Allstate 400- none
PA 500- none
Heluva Good-none
Michigan Carfax 400-none
Sharpie 500-none
Pep Boys 500-1
Chevy Rock & Roll 400-1
Sylvania 300- 1
AAA 400- none
Price Chopper 400- none
Pepsi 500- none
Banking 500- 2
Fast Relief 500- none
Amp Energy 500-none

Many times there were drivers who were just one spot off, including spots that would have settled 3 or more. What will happen this week? At the Carfax 400, there were 4 drivers who were just one spot away so I'm opting not to change the odds. (I didn't check any of the other recent races, though.)

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. http://sports.yahoo.com/nascar/schedule

Forecast history %

None

55%

31%

3 or more

Settled as None on Mon 9th Nov 4:54pm PST

Activity: H$7,570
Predictions: 12
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Sun 8th Nov 7am PST
Settlement date: Mon 9th Nov 4:54pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 8th Nov 7am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: None: 25%, 1: 25%, 2: 25%, 3 or more: 25%

Action history:

Created Tue 3rd Nov 6:12pm PST by

donnamil Level 15, Seer (H$283,180)

Suspended Sun 8th Nov 7am PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'None' Mon 9th Nov 4:54pm PST by