Created Wed 4th Nov 5:17am PST by

imantsdimants Level 15, Seer (H$266,395)

Dow Poker: Best poker hand in Dow at close Tue 10 November, 2009?

Settled as Highest number

DJIA closed at 10246.97, so the best poker hand was highest number, "9" out of the choices of 2, 4, 6, 7, & 9

Background:

Background: Suspend date: Tue 10th Nov 2:55pm CST

Initial likelihoods: Highest number: 35%, 1 pair: 35%, 2 pair: 15%, 3 of a kind: 7%, straight (5 consecutive): 2%, full house (3 of a kind and 1 pair): 2%, 4 of a kind: 2%, 5 of a kind: 2%

Background: With thanks to Hubdubbob and Youbet.

Five numbers from right to left make best poker hand.

The zero (0) will only count as zero, not as 10.
***
This question is based on the closing price of DJIA (the "DOW").
Settlement is based on the winning poker hand using only the "Five numbers from right to left".
For instance, if the DOW were to close at 9888.88, the winning hand would be "5 of a kind", consisting of all 8's.
You'd ignore the leftmost digit (in this case the 9) because it's not involved in settling this question.
If the DOW closes at 10,888.88, the winning hand would also be "5 of a kind", consisting of all 8's as we're only using the "Five numbers from right to left" ignoring the "1" and the "0".

Feeling lucky?
Then place your bets!

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

Highest number

32%

1 pair

46%

2 pair

3 of a kind

10%

straight (5 consecutive)

full house (three of a kind and one pair)

4 of a kind

5 of a kind

Settled as Highest number on Tue 10th Nov 6:25pm PST

Activity: H$23,504
Predictions: 143
Comments: 2

Suspend date: Tue 10th Nov 12:55pm PST
Settlement date: Tue 10th Nov 6:25pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 10th Nov 12:55pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Highest number: 35%, 1 pair: 35%, 2 pair : 15%, 3 of a kind: 7%, straight (5 consecutive): 2%, full house (three of a kind and one pair): 2%, 4 of a kind: 2%, 5 of a kind: 2%

Action history:

Created Wed 4th Nov 5:17am PST by

imantsdimants Level 15, Seer (H$266,395)

Suspended Tue 10th Nov 12:55pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Tue 10th Nov 6:24pm PST by

imantsdimants Level 15, Seer (H$266,395)

: www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ai6YKG4DO4C4&pos=2

Nov. 10 (Bloomberg)
The Dow increased 20.03 points, or 0.2 percent, to 10,246.97 for its highest close since Oct. 3, 2008.
***
10,246.97 = (1) (0) 2 4 6 9 7 = best poker hand of "highest number"

Settled as 'Highest number' Tue 10th Nov 6:25pm PST by

bayoubear [Admin]

: DJIA closed at 10246.97, so the best poker hand was highest number, "9" out of the choices of 2, 4, 6, 7, & 9

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Predictions (143)

1 week ago

sdrawkcabton88 Level 9, Expert (H$8,595)

predicted 2 pair (H$10 at 9%)

1 week ago

cheesenips Level 16, Oracle (H$563,498)

predicted 1 pair (H$400 at 44%)

1 week ago

njbroug Level 5, Predictor (H$1,594)

predicted Highest number (H$20 at 31%)

1 week ago

htlsales Level 12, Guru (H$27,751)

predicted 3 of a kind (H$20 at 11%)

1 week ago

htlsales Level 12, Guru (H$27,751)

predicted Highest number (H$20 at 33%)

Comments (2)

cici

@Coolcraft - this is my absolute favorite. Tuesday, 4 o'clock, I get glued to the screen to see how it closes. And the worst part is that it keeps changing until the close. I win, I don't. yes, no. Lost everything this week, won big last week. What is, is!

posted 2 weeks ago