Created Wed 4th Nov 10:22pm PST by

sdchargers [Power User]

Will the 'Affordable Health Care for America Act' (HR 3962) pass the US House?

Settled as Yes

Background: President Barack Obama intends to visit the Capitol on Friday to meet with House Democrats and make a final pitch for health care legislation scheduled for a weekend vote, according to congressional officials.

The Democratic House leadership hopes to have legislation on the House floor for a vote on Saturday.
http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2009/11/05/obama-set-final-health-care-pitch/

House Democratic leaders, undeterred by delays in the Senate or this week’s Republican electoral triumphs, plan to call a vote Saturday on the most sweeping overhaul of U.S. health-care policy in four decades.

The House will move on the $1.05 trillion legislation that would cover 36 million uninsured people and create a government plan to compete with private insurers even after the election of Republican governors in New Jersey and Virginia. President Barack Obama will go to Capitol Hill tomorrow to meet with House Democrats, as they seek the 218 votes they need to pass the bill, a Democratic leadership aide said.
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601103&sid=aA0MorUY5hWQ

H.R.3962
"To provide affordable, quality health care for all Americans and reduce the growth in health care spending, and for other purposes."
http://docs.house.gov/rules/health/111_ahcaa.pdf

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date/time is not fixed, and may be adjusted if vote doesn't happen this weekend.

Forecast history %

Yes

67%

33%

Settled as Yes on Wed 18th Nov 8:23am PST

Activity: H$10,651
Predictions: 20
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Sat 7th Nov 9am PST
Settlement date: Wed 18th Nov 8:23am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 7th Nov 9am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 65%

Action history:

Created Wed 4th Nov 10:22pm PST by

sdchargers [Power User]

Suspended Sat 7th Nov 9am PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Wed 18th Nov 1:49am PST by

hfl13

: Nov 7th
http://energycommerce.house.gov/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=1687&catid=156&Itemid=55

Settled as 'Yes' Wed 18th Nov 8:23am PST by

destry [Admin]

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Predictions (20)

1 week ago

dnicolo1 Level 8, Super-Pro (H$5,089)

predicted Yes (H$50 at 67%)

1 week ago

fenricstoast Level 7, Pro (H$3,383)

predicted Yes (H$50 at 66%)

1 week ago

sailfurther Level 6, Player (H$2,239)

predicted Yes (H$50 at 66%)

2 weeks ago

andrew240 Level 1, Newbie (H$40)

predicted No (H$1,000 at 33%)

2 weeks ago

conservatives_suck Level 8, Super-Pro (H$5,507)

predicted Yes (H$100 at 69%)

Comments (1)

modigs2000 Level 6, Player (H$2,920)

If the supend date keeps moving if they delay the vote, then the question has issues. Pelosi won't call a vote unless she has a whip count that says she has enough (or is within a few votes to force blue dogs).

posted 1 week ago