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Will Renault make an announcement on its participation in Formula 1 before the end of the year?

Background: French carmaker Renault will decide by the end of the year whether to stay in Formula One after a race-fixing scandal that has badly damaged the team's reputation.

"You will have to be patient," Renault Chief Executive Carlos Ghosn told reporters on Thursday."We will make an announcement on our participation in Formula 1before the end of the year."

http://www.reuters.com/article/cyclicalConsumerGoodsSector/idUSL554622420091105

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Any limit on their participation in form of a specific year or season would settle "to quit" - any other form of participation, without fixing its duration, even in conditional form, would settle "to stay".

 
Forecast history %
No announcement by the end of 2009
6%
Announcement to quit
72%
Announcement to stay
22%
Question suspends in 5 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: No announcement by the end of 2009: 10%, Announcement to quit: 60%, Announcement to stay: 30%

Action history:

Created Thu 5th Nov 1:03pm PST by kruijs[Power User]

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (59)

12 hours ago
pauliharman predicted Announcement to quit (H$1,000 at 69%)
1 day ago
esop predicted Announcement to stay (H$100 at 27%)
3 days ago
kruijs[Power User] predicted Announcement to stay (H$500 at 22%)
3 days ago
thisismyrobot predicted Announcement to stay (H$100 at 34%)
5 days ago
kennyk predicted Announcement to stay (H$100 at 18%)

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