Created Thu 5th Nov 5:08pm PST by 
mvguy
mvguy 
After "Paranormal Activity," which will be the next film to gross $100 million domestically?
Settled as Couples Retreat
Background: Several films to be released in November 2009 are likely to reach $100 million in domestic box office receipts -- but when? An older film, "Couples Retreat," also is approaching the $100 million total. The question is, which film will be first to reach that milestone?
The clock doesn't start ticking until "Paranormal Activity" reaches $100 million, so any film that reaches $100 million before it does can't be the winner.
The current tally of box office totals can be found here:
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/yearly/chart/?yr=2009&p=.htm
If two films pass the $100 million total on the same day, the winner will be the film in the fewer number of theaters. If they are in the same number of theaters, the winner will be the film that had the highest total on the day before reaching $100 million.
The clock doesn't start ticking until "Paranormal Activity" reaches $100 million, so any film that reaches $100 million before it does can't be the winner.
The current tally of box office totals can be found here:
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/yearly/chart/?yr=2009&p=.htm
If two films pass the $100 million total on the same day, the winner will be the film in the fewer number of theaters. If they are in the same number of theaters, the winner will be the film that had the highest total on the day before reaching $100 million.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| "Paranormal Activity" fails to reach $100M in 2009 |
| |||
| Couples Retreat |
| |||
| A Christmas Carol |
| |||
| 2012 |
| |||
| The Twilight Saga: New Moon |
| |||
| Any other film |
|
Settled as Couples Retreat on Wed 18th Nov 3:39am PST
- Activity: H$38,826 |
- Predictions: 36 |
Comments: 11
Suspend date: Mon 30th Nov 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)
Settlement date: Wed 18th Nov 3:39am PST
Initial likelihoods: "Paranormal Activity" fails to reach $100M in 2009: 1%, Couples Retreat: 24%, A Christmas Carol: 24%, 2012: 24%, The Twilight Saga: New Moon: 24%, Any other film: 3%
Action history:
Created Thu 5th Nov 5:08pm PST by mvguy
mvguy
Settlement requested Wed 18th Nov 3:37am PST by 
hfl13
: PA Friday http://www.the-numbers.com/charts/daily/2009/20091113.php
CR Saturday
http://www.the-numbers.com/charts/daily/2009/20091114.php
= CR
hfl13: PA Friday http://www.the-numbers.com/charts/daily/2009/20091113.php
CR Saturday
http://www.the-numbers.com/charts/daily/2009/20091114.php
= CR
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
Suspend date: Mon 30th Nov 11:59pm PST (1 week to go)
Settlement date: Wed 18th Nov 3:39am PST details 
Get widget!Predictions (36)
bigken1
predicted 2012 (H$20 at 0%)
frogchop
ghostbuster
predicted Any other film (H$1 at 0%)Comments (11)
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And what happens if Couples Retreat finishes on the same day as PA (like this Friday) ? The same day is not before .
Couples Retreat Universal 2,507 -350 (BOM & numbers)
Paranormal Activity 2,712 +154 Paramount (numbers only - this could be a mistake bacause PA added 154 last week and BOM has no numbers)
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