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Which song will be No. 1 on the Billboard Hot 100 Issue November 21, 2009?

Settled as 2- Owl City - Fireflies (1,1,11)

Background: Information in the options:
Current position - Artist - Title (previous position, peak position, weeks on)

Settlement details:As reported here:
http://www.billboard.com/bbcom/charts/chart_display.jsp?g=Singles&f=The+Billboard+Hot+100

THE CHART WEEK

Generally, charts reflect sales and airplay between Monday and Sunday of any given week. However, the mixed data charts (The Billboard Hot 100, Pop 100 and Hot R&B/Hip-Hop Songs) use an airplay cycle of Wednesday through Tuesday.

Charts are available Thursday on Billboard.com and Billboard.biz and reflect the date of the Billboard issue in which they appear.

The printed magazine first reaches newsstands on Friday. Each issue is dated based on the end of its publication week. Thus the Billboard that reaches newsstands on Friday, Sept. 9, for example, is dated Sept. 17.

 
Forecast history %
1- Jason DeRulo - Whatcha Say (2,1,12)
54%
2- Owl City - Fireflies (1,1,11)
7%
3- Jay-Z/Alicia Keys - Empire State/Mind (13,3,8)
9%
9- Lady GaGa - Bad Romance (-1,9,1)
5%
10- Taylor Swift - Jump Then Fall (-1,10,1)
5%
19- Taylor Swift - Untouchable (-1,19,1)
3%
22- Taylor Swift - The Other Side/Door (-1,22,1)
3%
Any song from position 2 to 50 not mentioned
5%
Any song from position 51 to 100 not mentioned
5%
Any new entry
4%
Settled as 2- Owl City - Fireflies (1,1,11) on Thu 12th Nov 4:29am PST

Suspend date: Wed 11th Nov 4:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 12th Nov 4:29am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 11th Nov 4:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 1- Jason DeRulo - Whatcha Say (2,1,12): 73%, 2- Owl City - Fireflies (1,1,11): 6%, 3- Jay-Z/Alicia Keys - Empire State/Mind (13,3,8): 7%, 9- Lady GaGa - Bad Romance (-1,9,1): 2%, 10- Taylor Swift - Jump Then Fall (-1,10,1): 2%, 19- Taylor Swift - Untouchable (-1,19,1): 1%, 22- Taylor Swift - The Other Side/Door (-1,22,1): 1%, Any song from position 2 to 50 not mentioned: 3%, Any song from position 51 to 100 not mentioned: 3%, Any new entry: 2%

Action history:

Created Thu 5th Nov 7:22pm PST by gtown[Power User]
Suspended Wed 11th Nov 4:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as '2- Owl City - Fireflies (1,1,11)' Thu 12th Nov 4:29am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]

Suspend date: Wed 11th Nov 4:59pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 12th Nov 4:29am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 11th Nov 4:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (17)

2 weeks ago
neopugg predicted 1- Jason DeRulo - Whatcha Say (2,1,12) (H$20 at 55%)
2 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted 3- Jay-Z/Alicia Keys - Empire State/Mind (13,3,8) (H$100 at 8%)
2 weeks ago
gtown[Power User] predicted 9- Lady GaGa - Bad Romance (-1,9,1) (H$100 at 4%)
2 weeks ago
rdeggau predicted Any new entry (H$50 at 4%)
2 weeks ago
rdeggau predicted Any song from position 51 to 100 not mentioned (H$50 at 5%)

Comments (1)

  1 gtown[Power User]
Taylor Swift Breaks Another Chart Record With New Fearless Tracks
Swift's eight songs on Billboard Hot 100 sets new record for female artists.
http://www.mtv.com/news/articles/1625567/20091105/story.jhtml
posted 2 weeks ago

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