When will the unemployed rate in the USA drop below 10%?
Background: Settlement will be based on data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics each month: http://www.bls.gov/cps/
Settlement details:Settlement will be based on data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics each month: http://www.bls.gov/cps/
When will the unemployed rate in the USA drop below 10%?
Q4 2009
Q1 2010
Q2 2010
Q3 2010
Q4 2010
2011 or later
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Forecast history %
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| Q4 2009 | | |
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| Q1 2010 | | |
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| Q2 2010 | | |
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| Q3 2010 | | |
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| Q4 2010 | | |
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| 2011 or later | | |
Question suspends in 1 year
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 3:59pm PST (1 year to go)
Initial likelihoods:
Q4 2009: 2%, Q1 2010: 3%, Q2 2010: 10%, Q3 2010: 20%, Q4 2010: 40%, 2011 or later: 25%
Action history:
Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 3:59pm PST (1 year to go) details
Predictions (137)
5 days ago
bob_loblaw
predicted
Q4 2010 (H$20 at 2%)
5 days ago
modigs2000
predicted
2011 or later (H$50 at 11%)
Comments (1)
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