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When will the unemployed rate in the USA drop below 10%?

Background: Settlement will be based on data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics each month: http://www.bls.gov/cps/

Settlement details:Settlement will be based on data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics each month: http://www.bls.gov/cps/

 
Forecast history %
Q4 2009
23%
Q1 2010
29%
Q2 2010
21%
Q3 2010
8%
Q4 2010
5%
2011 or later
14%
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 3:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Q4 2009: 2%, Q1 2010: 3%, Q2 2010: 10%, Q3 2010: 20%, Q4 2010: 40%, 2011 or later: 25%

Action history:

Created Fri 6th Nov 12:09pm PST by kruijs[Power User]

Suspend date: Fri 31st Dec 2010 3:59pm PST (1 year to go) details

 

Predictions (137)

5 days ago
bob_loblaw predicted Q4 2010 (H$20 at 2%)
5 days ago
bangalore19 predicted Q2 2010 (H$100 at 16%)
5 days ago
modigs2000 predicted 2011 or later (H$50 at 11%)
6 days ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted Q2 2010 (H$400 at 17%)
6 days ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted Q3 2010 (H$300 at 7%)

Comments (1)

  1 frank2877
Of course the US Bureau of Labor Statistics is full of bovine feces and the true unemployment rate is hovering around 17.5% http://rawstory.com/2009/11/real-unemployment-rate-stands-175/
posted 1 week ago

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