What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2009?
Background: With the worst of the recession apparenly behind us, what will happen to unemployment? In July, we saw an unexpected drop from 9.5 to 9.4%, but that was just a head fake. August was up to 9.7% and September came in at 9.8%. October numbers just out showed an unexpected jump to 10.2%. Employment is usually the last thing to improve after a recession. So, when the unemployment report is released on December 4, what will be the unemployment rate for November, 2009?
Settlement details:As reported by the bureau of labor statistics: http://www.bls.gov/cps/
What will the US Unemployment Rate be for November 2009?
9.7% or below
9.8%
9.9%
10.0%
10.1%
10.2%
10.3%
10.4%
10.5%
10.6% or above
Zoom out
Forecast history %
|
| 9.7% or below | | |
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| 9.8% | | |
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| 9.9% | | |
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| 10.0% | | |
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| 10.1% | | |
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| 10.2% | | |
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| 10.3% | | |
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| 10.4% | | |
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| 10.5% | | |
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| 10.6% or above | | |
Question suspends in 1 week
Suspend date: Wed 2nd Dec 7:59pm PST (1 week to go)
Initial likelihoods:
9.7% or below: 2%, 9.8% : 5%, 9.9%: 10%, 10.0% : 15%, 10.1%: 18%, 10.2%: 18%, 10.3%: 15%, 10.4%: 10%, 10.5% : 5%, 10.6% or above: 2%
Action history:
Suspend date: Wed 2nd Dec 7:59pm PST (1 week to go) details
Predictions (72)
3 days ago
gpickett00
predicted
10.4% (H$100 at 17%)
4 days ago
jamalpeter
predicted
10.4% (H$100 at 15%)
5 days ago
bernardo
predicted
10.6% or above (H$500 at 6%)
5 days ago
bernardo
predicted
10.3% (H$500 at 19%)
5 days ago
bernardo
predicted
10.5% (H$500 at 6%)
Comments (6)
Unexpected in whose book?
10 percent jobless is Obama's new world (AP)11-7-09
WASHINGTON — For months he had warned it was coming but that didn't ease the political shockwaves for President Barack Obama when unemployment topped 10 percent...
3.5 million lost their jobs while Obama was president. Expected or not, this is Obama's new reality...
The administration's own projections still see unemployment at 8 percent by the end of 2011...
Politically, Democrats are staring at some damage — and the fear of unemployment — themselves. Exit polls Tuesday in the New Jersey and Virginia GOP victories showed that the economy was the top issue in the minds of voters. And national public opinion surveys show that a majority of the public doesn't believe Obama's economic policies are working.
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5gwVvbh-J4L8-7XnmT0KxI4OzuuAwD9BQIO8G0
Vice President Joe Biden, Sept. 24, 2009
As he left for a weeklong trip to Asia, President Obama announced he would hold a U.S. "jobs summit" in December, and promised that the convention of experts in government, business and academia would figure out how to get tens of millions of Americans employed and "won't add a dime to the deficit."
Obama said funding for the summit would come from millions of dollars worth of savings squeezed from existing government employment programs.
"The very act of holding a jobs summit," Obama said, "will create or save some 37,000 jobs at the Departments of Commerce, Housing and Urban Development, and in the private sector airline, hotel, dry cleaning and restaurant industries."
Although details of the summit agenda remain sketchy, the president said he plans to invite thousands of government officials from around the nation, and to pay for their travel, meals and accommodations through fees on similar services used by conference participants from the private sector.
Those who travel to the jobs summit by bicycle, dirigible, or on foot, will also receive cash-equivalent "credits" from those who choose airline, automobile or train transportation.
Attendance by invited guests is optional, the president added.
"No one's going to force you to come to this summit," he said. "If you like your current location, you can stay there." However, invitees who decline will pay a $750 fine, and face a potential jail term of up to five years.
"We need to ensure fairness," said the president. "It's not right that some people should have to incur all of the expense of coming to the jobs summit, while others hoard their money."
Obama, on his way to China, sought to assure the American public that he was confident he could reduce double-digit unemployment to Bush administration levels.
"Don't worry. We've faced challenges before," Obama said. "If a man with no executive or military experience can get hired for the most important executive job in the world, commanding the world's most powerful military, then certainly we can figure out how to get ordinary folks back in the fields, the mines, the factories ... or whatever it is that they do out there."
http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/columns/Obama-says-jobs-summit-won_t-hike-deficit-8522680-69890897.html
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