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Will Robert Gibbs Still Be the White House Press Secretary at the January 2010 State of the Union?

Voided

Market voided. The initial starting odds are not in line with any news reports that in the next 7 weeks, replacing Gibbs is possible. The background of this market is just opinion and questions should be phrased in a manner in which they are as neutral as possible.
I don't mind markets asking when Gibbs or any other visible member of Team Obama is replaced, but they need to have realistic starting odds, be as neutral as possible with background and provide multiple options. I would suggest a potential time frame, will he be replaced by April fools day (odds maybe 10% for yes), then if want to keep creating date specific markets with reasonable odds, would be allowable.

Background:

Background: Robert Gibbs has struggled in communicating the White House message to the White House Press Corps.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Gibbs

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
50%
No
50%
Voided Sun 8th Nov 12:53am PST

Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 2010 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Sat 7th Nov 6:23am PST by modigs2000
Voided Sun 8th Nov 12:53am PST by destry[Admin]: Market voided. The initial starting odds are not in line with any news reports that in the next 7 weeks, replacing Gibbs is possible. The background of this market is just opinion and questions should be phrased in a manner in which they are as neutral as possible.
I don't mind markets asking when Gibbs or any other visible member of Team Obama is replaced, but they need to have realistic starting odds, be as neutral as possible with background and provide multiple options. I would suggest a potential time frame, will he be replaced by April fools day (odds maybe 10% for yes), then if want to keep creating date specific markets with reasonable odds, would be allowable.

Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 2010 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (13)

1 week ago
tkui predicted No (H$20 at 30%)
1 week ago
donnamil predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 69%)
1 week ago
vlad79 predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 67%)
1 week ago
mdad8200 predicted Yes (H$100 at 66%)
1 week ago
cluster0ne predicted Yes (H$30 at 66%)

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