
Will Robert Gibbs Still Be the White House Press Secretary at the January 2010 State of the Union?
Market voided. The initial starting odds are not in line with any news reports that in the next 7 weeks, replacing Gibbs is possible. The background of this market is just opinion and questions should be phrased in a manner in which they are as neutral as possible.
I don't mind markets asking when Gibbs or any other visible member of Team Obama is replaced, but they need to have realistic starting odds, be as neutral as possible with background and provide multiple options. I would suggest a potential time frame, will he be replaced by April fools day (odds maybe 10% for yes), then if want to keep creating date specific markets with reasonable odds, would be allowable.
Background:>
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Gibbs
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
- Activity: H$20,056 |
- Predictions: 13 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 2010 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
I don't mind markets asking when Gibbs or any other visible member of Team Obama is replaced, but they need to have realistic starting odds, be as neutral as possible with background and provide multiple options. I would suggest a potential time frame, will he be replaced by April fools day (odds maybe 10% for yes), then if want to keep creating date specific markets with reasonable odds, would be allowable.
Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 2010 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details
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