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From which region will the next elected Asian UN Security Council member be?

Background: In October 2009, Lebanon was elected to the UN Security Council. They will replace Vietnam in the 2010-11 term. Asia was represented for the 2009-10 term by Japan. Traditionally, one Arab nation is represented. So, the new member is not expected to be an Arab nation.

Nations cannot serve consecutive terms.

Regions will be defined by the following:
http://www.un.org/depts/dhl/maplib/worldregions.htm
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:United_Nations_geographical_subregions.png

Additional information:
http://www.voanews.com/english/2009-10-15-voa34.cfm
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Nations_Security_Council_election,_2010

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Eastern Asia
17%
South Central Asia
42%
Southeastern Asia
29%
Western Asia
12%
Question suspends in 29 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 14th Oct 12pm PST (29 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Eastern Asia: 12%, South Central Asia: 40%, Southeastern Asia: 31%, Western Asia: 17%

Action history:

Created Sat 7th Nov 2009 6:54am PST by onedave[Power User]

Suspend date: Thu 14th Oct 12pm PST (29 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (9)

16 weeks ago
lkmlaruna predicted Western Asia (H$35 at 12%)
16 weeks ago
dingoh predicted South Central Asia (H$10 at 42%)
18 weeks ago
anjanajayabandara predicted South Central Asia (H$20 at 42%)
19 weeks ago
hfl13 predicted Southeastern Asia (H$333 at 27%)
19 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted Eastern Asia (H$500 at 14%)

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