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Will Japanese government stick to the 2006 agreement over the realignment of U.S. forces in Japan?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
46%
No
44%
No news by settlement date
10%
Question suspends in 4 years

Suspend date: Sat 1st Mar 2014 6:59pm PST (4 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 45%, No: 45%, No news by settlement date: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 7th Nov 4:30pm PST by blacksoapman

Suspend date: Sat 1st Mar 2014 6:59pm PST (4 years to go) details

 

Predictions (2)

4 days ago
jamalpeter predicted No (H$600 at 47%)
1 week ago
tkui predicted Yes (H$100 at 46%)

Comments (1)

The Obama Administration recently signaled it was willing to discuss concessions about bases in Okinawa. (The discussions occurred during his visit to Asia last and this week, in particular his visit to Japan last week and his meetings with Prime Minister Hatayama, Based on that signal... that the U.S. is willing to entertain discussions... how will this question be settled? Should the question be voided?

Thank you.
-Jamal
posted 4 days ago

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