
How many hubdubbers will become Seers by January 1, 2010?
Background: This was fun last couple of months, so let's do it again for another two months. As I write this, there are:
78 Seers with at least H$ 250,000
150 Prophets with at least H$ 100,000
243 Psychics with at least H$ 50,000
399 Gurus with at least H$ 25,000
How many players will reach Seer status or greater (>H$250,000) just before midnight EST on December 31, 2009? The question will suspend 1 week before, on Dec 25.
78 Seers with at least H$ 250,000
150 Prophets with at least H$ 100,000
243 Psychics with at least H$ 50,000
399 Gurus with at least H$ 25,000
How many players will reach Seer status or greater (>H$250,000) just before midnight EST on December 31, 2009? The question will suspend 1 week before, on Dec 25.
Settlement details:As per All Time Net Worth Leader Board on Dec 31, 2009 just before midnight EST http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=4
| 75 or less - going backwards |
| ||||
| 76 to 78 |
| ||||
| 79 to 81 |
| ||||
| 82 to 84 |
| ||||
| 85 to 87 |
| ||||
| 88 to 90 |
| ||||
| 91 to 93 |
| ||||
| 94 or more - HD rocks! |
|
Question suspends in 4 weeks
- Activity: H$7,251 |
- Predictions: 20 |
Comments: 3
Suspend date: Fri 25th Dec 7pm PST (4 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: 75 or less - going backwards: 5%, 76 to 78: 10%, 79 to 81: 15%, 82 to 84: 20%, 85 to 87: 20%, 88 to 90: 15%, 91 to 93: 10%, 94 or more - HD rocks!: 5%
Action history:
Suspend date: Fri 25th Dec 7pm PST (4 weeks to go) details
Predictions (20)
Comments (3)
Related Tags

More questions by








Please log in or join to add a comment