Created Sat 7th Nov 5:54pm PST by

How many among us will become Psychic by January 1, 2010?

Background: This was fun last couple of months, so let's do it again, for another two months. As I write this, there are:
78 Seers with at least H$ 250,000
150 Prophets with at least H$ 100,000
242 Psychics with at least H$ 50,000
396 Gurus with at least H$ 25,000
550 Legends with at least H$ 15,000
720 Geniuses with at least H$ 10,000
How many players will reach Psychic status or higher (>H$50,000) Just before midnight EST on December 31, 2009? It takes money to make money, so there should be a greater increase this time. But, remember that you can lose as well as gain points in this game! The question will suspend 1 week before, on Dec 25.

Settlement details:As per All Time Net Worth Leader Board Just before midnight EST on December 31, 2009 http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=13

Forecast history %

239 or less - going nowhere

240 to 244

245 to 249

250 to 254

16%

255 to 259

43%

260 to 264

20%

265 to 269

270 or more - HD rocks!

Question suspends in 5 weeks

Activity: H$4,115
Predictions: 9
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Fri 25th Dec 7pm PST (5 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: 239 or less - going nowhere: 5%, 240 to 244: 10%, 245 to 249: 15%, 250 to 254: 20%, 255 to 259: 20%, 260 to 264: 15%, 265 to 269: 10%, 270 or more - HD rocks!: 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 7th Nov 5:55pm PST by

tuff_sledding [Power User]

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