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Where will the Hang Seng Index close on Friday, November 13, 2009?

Settled as Hang Seng closes at 22,500.01 or more

With a 156 point gain on Friday, the HSI ended the week at 22553.63

Background:

Background: The Hang Seng recovered some of it losses last week finishing at 21879, up from the previous Friday's close of 21752. Will this week see more gains, or will there be some losses again?

Where will the HSI go this week?

Over the last few weeks, this is what we've seen from the HSI:

9/04 20,318.62
9/11 21,161.40
9/18 21,623.40
9/25 21,024.40
10/2 20,375.50
10/9 21,499.40
10/16 21,929.90
10/23 22,589.73
10/30 21,752.87
11/06 21,829.72

Where will it be at the end of this week?

The question is then, into which of the range options below will the Hang Seng Index of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange fall at the end of trading on Friday? The question will suspend on Wednesday to provide some predictive requirements for wagering.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Hang Seng closes at 20,500.00 or less
0%
Hang Seng closes between 20500.01 and 20,750.00
1%
Hang Seng closes between 20,750.01 and 21,000.00
1%
Hang Seng closes between 21,000.01 and 21,250.00
1%
Hang Seng closes between 21,250.01 and 21,500.00
2%
Hang Seng closes between 21,500.01 and 21,750.00
2%
Hang Seng closes between 21,750.01 and 22,000.00
6%
Hang Seng closes between 22,000.01 and 22,250.00
19%
Hang Seng closes between 22,250.01 and 22,500.00
26%
Hang Seng closes at 22,500.01 or more
42%
Settled as Hang Seng closes at 22,500.01 or more on Fri 13th Nov 4:10am PST

Suspend date: Wed 11th Nov 5:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 13th Nov 4:10am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 11th Nov 5:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Hang Seng closes at 20,500.00 or less: 3%, Hang Seng closes between 20500.01 and 20,750.00: 5%, Hang Seng closes between 20,750.01 and 21,000.00: 8%, Hang Seng closes between 21,000.01 and 21,250.00: 10%, Hang Seng closes between 21,250.01 and 21,500.00: 12%, Hang Seng closes between 21,500.01 and 21,750.00: 15%, Hang Seng closes between 21,750.01 and 22,000.00: 20%, Hang Seng closes between 22,000.01 and 22,250.00: 14%, Hang Seng closes between 22,250.01 and 22,500.00: 8%, Hang Seng closes at 22,500.01 or more: 5%

Action history:

Created Sat 7th Nov 7:38pm PST by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Wed 11th Nov 5:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Hang Seng closes at 22,500.01 or more' Fri 13th Nov 4:10am PST by bayoubear[Admin]: With a 156 point gain on Friday, the HSI ended the week at 22553.63

Suspend date: Wed 11th Nov 5:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 13th Nov 4:10am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 11th Nov 5:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (24)

1 week ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted Hang Seng closes between 21,750.01 and 22,000.00 (H$100 at 9%)
1 week ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted Hang Seng closes at 22,500.01 or more (H$300 at 24%)
1 week ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted Hang Seng closes between 21,750.01 and 22,000.00 (H$100 at 10%)
1 week ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted Hang Seng closes between 22,250.01 and 22,500.00 (H$600 at 21%)
1 week ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted Hang Seng closes between 22,000.01 and 22,250.00 (H$600 at 25%)

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