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Australian Masters Golf: How will Tiger Woods perform?

Settled as Wins

1 USA Tiger Woods -4 18 -14 274

http://www.pga.org.au/default.aspx?s=scores&tid=379

Background:

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Wins
36%
2nd - 5th
37%
6th - 10th
17%
11th - 25th
8%
Outside top 25 but made cut
1%
Misses the cut
0%
Settled as Wins on Sun 15th Nov 2009 6:02am PST

Suspend date: Sat 14th Nov 2009 12:50pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 15th Nov 2009 6:02am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 14th Nov 2009 12:50pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Wins: 36%, 2nd - 5th: 33%, 6th - 10th: 11%, 11th - 25th: 7%, Outside top 25 but made cut: 11%, Misses the cut: 2%

Action history:

Created Sun 8th Nov 2009 3:18am PST by pitchedoutsideleg[Power User]
Suspended Sat 14th Nov 2009 12:50pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 14th Nov 2009 11:20pm PST by pitchedoutsideleg[Power User]: He won
http://www.europeantour.com/default.sps?pageid=127&pagegid={AEFB93B0-EFF5-4C05-AB0F-FD08D947D944}&infosid=3&eventid=2009095&reportid=68651
Settlement requested Sat 14th Nov 2009 11:27pm PST by wallysparks: Tiger wins.

http://sports.espn.go.com/golf/news/story?id=4656476
Settlement requested Sun 15th Nov 2009 1:25am PST by hfl13: 1 USA Tiger Woods -4 18 -14 274

http://www.pga.org.au/default.aspx?s=scores&tid=379
Settled as 'Wins' Sun 15th Nov 2009 6:02am PST by mrperfkt[Admin]: 1 USA Tiger Woods -4 18 -14 274

http://www.pga.org.au/default.aspx?s=scores&tid=379

Suspend date: Sat 14th Nov 2009 12:50pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 15th Nov 2009 6:02am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 14th Nov 2009 12:50pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (43)

18 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted Wins (H$500 at 50%)
18 weeks ago
uberin predicted 2nd - 5th (H$500 at 33%)
18 weeks ago
point0507 predicted 2nd - 5th (H$50 at 29%)
18 weeks ago
chrishill predicted 2nd - 5th (H$100 at 28%)
18 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg[Power User] predicted Wins (H$1,000 at 52%)

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