Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
PoliticsSportEntertainmentWorldBusinessTechnologyScienceGeneral

How many Experts on Hubdub by January 1, 2010?

Settled as 921 to 940

925 Experts:
http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=47

Background:

Background: This was fun last couple of months, so let's do it again, for a couple of more months. As I write this, there are:
396 Gurus with at least H$ 25,000
550 Legends with at least H$ 15,000
728 Geniuses with at least H$ 10,000
885 Experts with at least H$ 7,500
1190 Super Pro's with at least H$5,000
How many players will reach Expert status or higher (>H$7,500) just before midnight EST on Dec 31, 2009? Remember that you can lose as well as gain points in this game! The question will suspend 1 week before, on Dec 25.

Settlement details:As per All Time Net Worth Leader Board just before midnight EST on Dec 31 http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=45

 
Forecast history %
860 or less - HD in limbo
1%
861 to 880
2%
881 to 900
2%
901 to 920
17%
921 to 940
68%
941 to 960
7%
961 to 980
2%
981 to 1000
2%
1001 or more - HD rocks!
1%
Settled as 921 to 940 on Fri 1st Jan 2:38am PST

Suspend date: Fri 25th Dec 2009 7pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 2:38am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 25th Dec 2009 7pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 860 or less - HD in limbo: 6%, 861 to 880: 10%, 881 to 900: 12%, 901 to 920: 14%, 921 to 940: 16%, 941 to 960: 14%, 961 to 980: 12%, 981 to 1000: 10%, 1001 or more - HD rocks!: 6%

Action history:

Created Sun 8th Nov 2009 6:56am PST by tuff_sledding[Power User]
Suspended Fri 25th Dec 2009 7pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 31st Dec 2009 10:01pm PST by tuff_sledding[Power User]: 925 Experts:
http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=47
Settled as '921 to 940' Fri 1st Jan 2:38am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: 925 Experts:
http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=47

Suspend date: Fri 25th Dec 2009 7pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 2:38am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 25th Dec 2009 7pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (23)

11 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 921 to 940 (H$1,000 at 64%)
12 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 921 to 940 (H$1,000 at 61%)
12 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 921 to 940 (H$1,000 at 42%)
13 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 941 to 960 (H$400 at 7%)
13 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 921 to 940 (H$600 at 24%)

Comments (2)

  1 hfl13
885 (+0)
posted 17 weeks ago
  2 hfl13
916 (+31)
posted 12 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

Stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real news stories! Win more if you're right and climb the leaderboards Learn more...

Name
Email
New password
By joining you are agreeing to our terms of service