What will happen to Mahmud Vahidnia, who dared to criticise Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to his face?
Settled as He'll be fine, nothing of these events happen
We've read no reports of anything happening...
Background:>
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source. Settles on first to happen.
What will happen to Mahmud Vahidnia, who dared to criticise Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to his face?
He will be detained for any reason
He will be expelled from or leave university
He will be expelled from or leave the country
He will be victim of any bodily assault
He'll be fine, nothing of these events happen
Zoom out
Forecast history %
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| He will be detained for any reason | |
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| He will be expelled from or leave university | |
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| He will be expelled from or leave the country | |
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| He will be victim of any bodily assault | |
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| He'll be fine, nothing of these events happen | |
Settled as He'll be fine, nothing of these events happen on Mon 4th Jan 8:02am PST
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 4th Jan 8:02am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
He will be detained for any reason: 20%, He will be expelled from or leave university: 15%, He will be expelled from or leave the country: 5%, He will be victim of any bodily assault: 5%, He'll be fine, nothing of these events happen: 55%
Action history:
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 4th Jan 7:53am PST by
spyder
:
No reports of any of these things occurring. Settle as "He'll be fine, nothing of these events happen"
Settled as 'He'll be fine, nothing of these events happen' Mon 4th Jan 8:02am PST by
sqlman![This user is an admin [Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif)

:
We've read no reports of anything happening...
Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 4th Jan 8:02am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 31st Dec 2009 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details
Predictions (29)
11 weeks ago
hindsight
predicted
He'll be fine, nothing of these events happen (H$100 at 84%)
12 weeks ago
guruzilla
predicted
He'll be fine, nothing of these events happen (H$20 at 80%)
13 weeks ago
kruijs![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)

predicted
He'll be fine, nothing of these events happen (H$1,000 at 78%)
13 weeks ago
kruijs![This user is a super user [Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif)

predicted
He'll be fine, nothing of these events happen (H$1,000 at 73%)
16 weeks ago
shellyvalentine66
predicted
He will be detained for any reason (H$50 at 11%)
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