Created Wed 11th Nov 2009 3:16pm PST by
mvguy
On which day will "The Twilight Saga: New Moon" reach $100 million at the domestic box office?
Settled as Nov. 20-21, 2009
Background: "The Twilight Saga: New Moon" likely will be the biggest movie at the box office this month. Its 2008 predecessor, "Twilight," took eight days to reach $100 million domestically. How long will this one take?
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
On which day will "The Twilight Saga: New Moon" reach $100 million at the domestic box office?
Nov. 20-21, 2009
Nov. 22, 2009
Nov. 23, 2009
Nov. 24, 2009
Nov. 25, 2009
Nov. 26, 2009
Nov. 27, 2009
Nov. 28, 2009
Nov. 29, 2009
Nov. 30, 2009, or later
Forecast history %
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| Nov. 20-21, 2009 | |
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| Nov. 22, 2009 | |
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| Nov. 23, 2009 | |
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| Nov. 24, 2009 | |
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| Nov. 25, 2009 | |
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| Nov. 26, 2009 | |
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| Nov. 27, 2009 | |
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| Nov. 28, 2009 | |
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| Nov. 29, 2009 | |
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| Nov. 30, 2009, or later | |
Settled as Nov. 20-21, 2009 on Mon 23rd Nov 2009 2:48pm PST
Suspend date: Mon 23rd Nov 2009 10:25am PST
Settlement date: Mon 23rd Nov 2009 2:48pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 23rd Nov 2009 10:25am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods:
Nov. 20-21, 2009: 2%, Nov. 22, 2009: 4%, Nov. 23, 2009: 7%, Nov. 24, 2009: 15%, Nov. 25, 2009: 20%, Nov. 26, 2009: 25%, Nov. 27, 2009: 20%, Nov. 28, 2009: 5%, Nov. 29, 2009: 1%, Nov. 30, 2009, or later: 1%
Action history:
Created Wed 11th Nov 2009 3:16pm PST by
mvguy
Suspend date: Mon 23rd Nov 2009 10:25am PST
Settlement date: Mon 23rd Nov 2009 2:48pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 23rd Nov 2009 10:25am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Predictions (76)
17 weeks ago
dieseldog
predicted
Nov. 22, 2009 (H$20 at 0%)
17 weeks ago
triciebird
predicted
Nov. 22, 2009 (H$20 at 3%)
17 weeks ago
rdeggau
predicted
Nov. 22, 2009 (H$50 at 3%)
17 weeks ago
triciebird predicted
Nov. 23, 2009 (H$20 at 1%)
17 weeks ago
triciebird predicted
Nov. 22, 2009 (H$100 at 11%)
Comments (0)
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: 21th Nov $114,992,635
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