Created Sat 14th Nov 2009 4:05am PST by 
hfl13
hfl13 
Will Twilight New Moon make $500 million before February 1, 2010?
Settled as Yes
Easily!
Background:
Background: Thanks lola for the question design.
One year ago the first part made:
Domestic: $191,465,414 49,9%
+ Foreign: $192,227,954 50.1%
= Worldwide: $383,693,368
THE TWILIGHT SAGA:
NEW MOON
Release Date: 11/20/09
Final Date: 12/17/09
Distributor: Summit Entertainment
Genre: Romance
Running Time: 2 hrs. 10 min.
MPAA Rating: PG-13
Theater: 4000+
Director: Chris Weitz
Actors: Kristen Stewart
Robert Pattinson
I choose 500m because the books, vampires, the first movie and its stars all became more popular in the last year. With many new franchises there is more box office for the second part because after a previous success the marketing push and fan base for the second part is much bigger.
(e.g. Transformers, Ice Age, X-Men, Terminator, Lord of the Rings)
HSX expects 235m for four weeks today.
One year ago the first part made:
Domestic: $191,465,414 49,9%
+ Foreign: $192,227,954 50.1%
= Worldwide: $383,693,368
THE TWILIGHT SAGA:
NEW MOON
Release Date: 11/20/09
Final Date: 12/17/09
Distributor: Summit Entertainment
Genre: Romance
Running Time: 2 hrs. 10 min.
MPAA Rating: PG-13
Theater: 4000+
Director: Chris Weitz
Actors: Kristen Stewart
Robert Pattinson
I choose 500m because the books, vampires, the first movie and its stars all became more popular in the last year. With many new franchises there is more box office for the second part because after a previous success the marketing push and fan base for the second part is much bigger.
(e.g. Transformers, Ice Age, X-Men, Terminator, Lord of the Rings)
HSX expects 235m for four weeks today.
Settlement details:http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=newmoon.htm
Film must make $500 million in WORLDWIDE earnings before February 1, 2010 for settlement as YES.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
| |||
| No |
|
Settled as Yes on Mon 21st Dec 2009 3:50pm PST
- Activity: H$82,459 |
- Predictions: 22 |
Comments: 1
Suspend date: Thu 28th Jan 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 21st Dec 2009 3:50pm PST
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Sat 14th Nov 2009 4:05am PST by hfl13
hfl13
Settlement requested Mon 21st Dec 2009 9:49am PST by hfl13: $634,661,000
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=newmoon.htm
hfl13: $634,661,000
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=newmoon.htm
jenniandboys![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: Easily! 
Suspend date: Thu 28th Jan 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 21st Dec 2009 3:50pm PST details 
Get widget!Predictions (22)
philphan1
predicted Yes (H$100 at 98%)
bobyn42
predicted No (H$20 at 20%)
mungo10
predicted No (H$500 at 47%)
rdeggauComments (1)
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Related Tags
Numbers for the opening weekend
7 The Twilight Saga: New Moon Sum. $258.8 $140.7 54.4% $118.1 45.6% 2009
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/world/worldwideopenings.htm
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