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Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
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How many Hubdubbers are Guru and better on January 1st 2010?

Settled as 400 to 410

410

http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=21

Background:

Background: All information on HubDub star names is intended to be “and better” e.g. orlin is part of the 401 Gurus and better. The November question was settled with 393 Gurus and today there are 401

At the moment there are:
556 Legends = 11 Star = H$ 15,000
401 Gurus = 12 Star =h at least H$ 25,000

Suspends three days prior.

Settlement details:As per Net worth Leaderboard on January 01st, 2010 at 00:05 CET
(401-420) http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=21
add 1 to "page=" for every 20 more you need to watch e.g. 421-440 is page=22

 
Forecast history %
400 and less
0%
400 to 410
15%
411 to 420
79%
421 to 430
3%
431 to 440
1%
441 to 450
1%
451 to 460
0%
461 to 470
0%
471 to 480
0%
481 and more
0%
Settled as 400 to 410 on Fri 1st Jan 2:59am PST

Suspend date: Mon 28th Dec 2009 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 2:59am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 28th Dec 2009 3:05pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 400 and less: 5%, 400 to 410: 10%, 411 to 420: 10%, 421 to 430: 10%, 431 to 440: 15%, 441 to 450: 10%, 451 to 460: 10%, 461 to 470: 10%, 471 to 480: 10%, 481 and more: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 14th Nov 2009 4:34am PST by hfl13
Suspended Mon 28th Dec 2009 3:05pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 31st Dec 2009 5:31pm PST by hfl13: 410

http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=21
Settled as '400 to 410' Fri 1st Jan 2:59am PST by nigeleccles[Admin]: 410

http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=21

Suspend date: Mon 28th Dec 2009 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 2:59am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 28th Dec 2009 3:05pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (34)

6 weeks ago
maartenkaas predicted 421 to 430 (H$20 at 3%)
6 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg[Power User] predicted 400 to 410 (H$1,000 at 6%)
6 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 411 to 420 (H$1,000 at 62%)
7 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 411 to 420 (H$1,200 at 53%)
7 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted 421 to 430 (H$1,000 at 40%)

Comments (1)

  1 hfl13
411 (+10)
posted 6 weeks ago

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