Created Sat 14th Nov 2009 4:43am PST by

How many Hubdubbers are Predictor and better on January 1st?

Settled as 4371 to 4400

4386

Background:

Background: This was settled on Nov 1st with 4289.
All information on HubDub star names is intended to be “and better” e.g. orlin is part of the 4312 Predictors and better today.

At the moment there are:
9254 Novices with HD$ 1.025
7218 Apprentices with HD$ 1.100
5786 Whiz-kids with HD$ 1.200
4312 Predictors with HD$ 1.400
2660 Players with HD$ 2.000
1762 Pros with HD$ 3.000
1199 Super-Pros with HD$ 5.000
885 Experts = 9 Star = HD$ 7,500
729 Geniuses = 10 Star = HD$ 10,000
556 Legends = 11 Star = HD$ 15,000
401Gurus = 12 Star = at least HD$ 25,000
What will happen next?

Suspends three days prior.

Settlement details:As per Net worth Leaderboard on November 1st, 2009 at 00:05 CET
(4301-4320) http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=216
add 1 to "page=" for every 20 more you need to watch e.g. 4321-4340 is page=217

Forecast history %

4310 and less

4311 to 4340

4341 to 4370

4371 to 4400

84%

4401 to 4430

4431 to 4460

4461 to 4490

4491 to 4520

4521 to 4550

4551 and more

Settled as 4371 to 4400 on Fri 1st Jan 3:02am PST

Activity: H$21,649
Predictions: 23
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Mon 28th Dec 2009 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 3:02am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 28th Dec 2009 3:05pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 4310 and less: 1%, 4311 to 4340: 11%, 4341 to 4370: 11%, 4371 to 4400: 11%, 4401 to 4430: 12%, 4431 to 4460: 12%, 4461 to 4490: 11%, 4491 to 4520: 11%, 4521 to 4550: 11%, 4551 and more: 9%

Action history:

Created Sat 14th Nov 2009 4:43am PST by

hfl13

Suspended Mon 28th Dec 2009 3:05pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Thu 31st Dec 2009 5:23pm PST by

hfl13

: 4386

Settled as '4371 to 4400' Fri 1st Jan 3:02am PST by