Created Sat 14th Nov 2009 5:38am PST by

How many Hubdubbers are Pro and better on January 1st?

Settled as 1801 to 1820

1810

http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=91

Background:

Background: Background: This was settled on Nov 1st with 1745.
All information on HubDub star names is intended to be “and better” e.g. orlin is part of the 1762 Pros and better today.

At the moment there are:
9254 Novices with HD$ 1.025
7218 Apprentices with HD$ 1.100
5786 Whiz-kids with HD$ 1.200
4312 Predictors with HD$ 1.400
2660 Players with HD$ 2.000
1762 Pros with HD$ 3.000
1199 Super-Pros with HD$ 5.000
885 Experts = 9 Star = HD$ 7,500
729 Geniuses = 10 Star = HD$ 10,000
556 Legends = 11 Star = HD$ 15,000
401Gurus = 12 Star = at least HD$ 25,000
What will happen next?

Suspends three days prior.

Settlement details:As per Net worth Leaderboard on November 1st, 2009 at 00:05 CET
(1761-1780) http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=89
add 1 to "page=" for every 20 more you need to watch e.g. 1781-1800 is page=90

Forecast history %

1760 and less

1761 to 1780

1781 to 1800

10%

1801 to 1820

83%

1821 to 1840

1841 to 1860

1861 to 1880

1881 to 1900

1901 to 1920

1921 and more

Settled as 1801 to 1820 on Fri 1st Jan 3:01am PST

Activity: H$20,494
Predictions: 25
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Mon 28th Dec 2009 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 3:01am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 28th Dec 2009 3:05pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 1760 and less: 1%, 1761 to 1780: 10%, 1781 to 1800: 11%, 1801 to 1820: 12%, 1821 to 1840: 12%, 1841 to 1860: 12%, 1861 to 1880: 11%, 1881 to 1900: 11%, 1901 to 1920: 10%, 1921 and more: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 14th Nov 2009 5:38am PST by

hfl13

Suspended Mon 28th Dec 2009 3:05pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Thu 31st Dec 2009 5:26pm PST by

hfl13

: 1810

http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=91

Settled as '1801 to 1820' Fri 1st Jan 3:01am PST by