Created Sat 14th Nov 2009 5:58am PST by

How many Hubdubbers are Super-Pro and better on January 1st?

Settled as 1221 to 1240

1226

http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=62

Background:

Background: Background: This was settled on Nov 1st with 1186.
All information on HubDub star names is intended to be “and better” e.g. orlin is part of the 1199 Super-Pros and better today.

At the moment there are:
9254 Novices with HD$ 1.025
7218 Apprentices with HD$ 1.100
5786 Whiz-kids with HD$ 1.200
4312 Predictors with HD$ 1.400
2660 Players with HD$ 2.000
1762 Pros with HD$ 3.000
1199 Super-Pros with HD$ 5.000
885 Experts = 9 Star = HD$ 7,500
729 Geniuses = 10 Star = HD$ 10,000
556 Legends = 11 Star = HD$ 15,000
401Gurus = 12 Star = at least HD$ 25,000
What will happen next?

Suspends three days prior.

Settlement details:As per Net worth Leaderboard on November 1st, 2009 at 00:05 CET
(1201-1220) http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=61
add 1 to "page=" for every 20 more you need to watch e.g. 1221-1240 is page=62

Forecast history %

1200 and less

1201 to 1220

1221 to 1240

89%

1241 to 1260

1261 to 1280

1281 to 1300

1301 to 1320

1321 to 1340

1341 to 1360

1361 and more

Settled as 1221 to 1240 on Fri 1st Jan 3:01am PST

Activity: H$21,768
Predictions: 25
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Mon 28th Dec 2009 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 3:01am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 28th Dec 2009 3:05pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 1200 and less: 2%, 1201 to 1220: 10%, 1221 to 1240: 11%, 1241 to 1260: 11%, 1261 to 1280: 12%, 1281 to 1300: 12%, 1301 to 1320: 11%, 1321 to 1340: 11%, 1341 to 1360: 10%, 1361 and more: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 14th Nov 2009 5:58am PST by

hfl13

Suspended Mon 28th Dec 2009 3:05pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Thu 31st Dec 2009 5:27pm PST by

hfl13

: 1226

http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=62

Settled as '1221 to 1240' Fri 1st Jan 3:01am PST by