Created Sat 14th Nov 2009 7:15am PST by

How many Hubdubbers are Novices and better on January 1st?

Settled as 9341 to 9380

9347

Background:

Background: New question.
All information on HubDub star names is intended to be “and better” e.g. orlin is part of the 9254 Novices and better today.

At the moment there are:
9254 Novices with HD$ 1.025
7218 Apprentices with HD$ 1.100
5786 Whiz-kids with HD$ 1.200
4312 Predictors with HD$ 1.400
2660 Players with HD$ 2.000
1762 Pros with HD$ 3.000
1199 Super-Pros with HD$ 5.000
885 Experts = 9 Star = HD$ 7,500
729 Geniuses = 10 Star = HD$ 10,000
556 Legends = 11 Star = HD$ 15,000
401Gurus = 12 Star = at least HD$ 25,000
What will happen next?

Suspends three days prior.

Settlement details:As per Net worth Leaderboard on November 1st, 2009 at 00:05 CET
(9241-9260) http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=463
add 1 to "page=" for every 20 more you need to watch e.g. 9261-9280 is page=464

Forecast history %

9260 and less

9261 to 9300

9301 to 9340

83%

9341 to 9380

15%

9381 to 9420

9421 to 9460

9461 to 9500

9501 to 9540

9541 to 9580

9581 and more

Settled as 9341 to 9380 on Fri 1st Jan 3am PST

Activity: H$23,114
Predictions: 28
Comments: 6

Suspend date: Mon 28th Dec 2009 3:05pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 3am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 28th Dec 2009 3:05pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 9260 and less: 1%, 9261 to 9300: 10%, 9301 to 9340: 11%, 9341 to 9380: 12%, 9381 to 9420: 12%, 9421 to 9460: 12%, 9461 to 9500: 11%, 9501 to 9540: 11%, 9541 to 9580: 10%, 9581 and more: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 14th Nov 2009 7:16am PST by

hfl13

Suspended Mon 28th Dec 2009 3:05pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Thu 31st Dec 2009 5:29pm PST by

hfl13

: 9347

Settlement requested Thu 31st Dec 2009 5:30pm PST by

hfl13

: http://www.hubdub.com/p/Leaders?page=468

Settled as '9341 to 9380' Fri 1st Jan 3am PST by

nigeleccles [Admin]

: 9347

hide

Get widget!

Predictions (28)

6 weeks ago

pitchedoutsideleg [Power User]

predicted 9301 to 9340 (H$5,000 at 41%)

6 weeks ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

predicted 9341 to 9380 (H$1,000 at 57%)

6 weeks ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

predicted 9341 to 9380 (H$1,000 at 47%)

6 weeks ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

predicted 9381 to 9420 (H$400 at 16%)

7 weeks ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

predicted 9341 to 9380 (H$800 at 38%)

Comments (6)

tuff_sledding [Power User]

there seems to be a glitch of some sort. there are several players with net worth of 1025 with one star rating of Newbie. Maybe it has to do with rounding, but this could cause some problems at settlement. Will flag and ask admins to clarify how it will settle in case the discrepancy persists. Do we use the star designation or the HD$ amount?

posted 11 weeks ago

hfl13

HD$ amount .

posted 11 weeks ago

hfl13

9263 (+9)

posted 11 weeks ago

tuff_sledding [Power User]

9313 today. lots of new accounts being added daily - there must have been an advertising campaign. All the new members have to do is sign into the account twice and not lose any money and they are Novices. Seems there ought to be lots of them soon....

posted 7 weeks ago

hfl13

9326 (+72)

posted 6 weeks ago

hfl13

It´s not so easy for new members not to lose money.

posted 6 weeks ago