Created Wed 18th Nov 2009 9:59am PST by

Will "Precious" earn at least $20,6m after 17 days?

Settled as Yes

Background: Box office performance. #3 last weekend.

I will add all movies with a 20m+ first weekend and will stop the weekly questions when there is little acticity or the movie falls below 3m a week.

The value 20,6m consists of:
Up to this weekend: 8,7
Monday-Thursday: 2,1 (my estimate modell)
Next weekend: 9,8 (http://www.boxofficemojo.com/derbygame/)

I don´t want to change to 51% to 49% and similar in starting odds - therefore I use one digit more in box office numbers.

Theaters: 174 (this weekend expected in wide release)

my original information:

PRECIOUS:
BASED ON THE NOVEL "PUSH" BY SAPPHIRE
Wide Release Date: 11/06/09 limited - 11/20/09 (???) wide
Distributor: Lionsgate
Genre: Drama
Running Time: 1 hrs. 49 min.
MPAA Rating: R
Propduction Budget: $10 million

Settlement details:As reported by http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=daily&id=preciouspush.htm with the final weekend numbers on Monday, November 23th .

Forecast history %

Yes

36%

64%

Settled as Yes on Mon 23rd Nov 2009 2:52pm PST

Activity: H$9,966
Predictions: 14
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Sat 21st Nov 2009 3:05am PST
Settlement date: Mon 23rd Nov 2009 2:52pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 21st Nov 2009 3:05am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 18th Nov 2009 9:59am PST by

hfl13

Suspended Sat 21st Nov 2009 3:05am PST : Suspend date reached

Settled as 'Yes' Mon 23rd Nov 2009 2:52pm PST by